Borussia Monchengladbach will look to extend their dominant recent Bundesliga record over St Pauli when the two sides clash at Borussia-Park.
St Pauli, hovering just inside the relegation zone, face a daunting task against a Gladbach side with a clear upper hand in previous meetings. Kick-off is at 19:30 on Friday 13 March and, with both teams only separated by a point in the table, the stakes could hardly be higher for this Bundesliga encounter.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Gladbach’s head-to-head record and attacking output, our top betting recommendations focus on a home win and goals. We’re particularly confident in Gladbach to win, given their unbeaten run against St Pauli and their superior firepower at home.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Monchengladbach to Win | 1/1 @ Bet365 (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing Gladbach because they’ve won two of the last three meetings (with a combined score of 7-1) and are five goals better off this season. Their stronger attack and home advantage make them the standout pick. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 6/5 @ Bet365 (45.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Gladbach and St Pauli matches have featured goals, with their last meeting ending 4-0 to Gladbach. Both teams’ defensive stats suggest vulnerability, while their combined attack stats make this over line appealing at a generous price. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
The two sides are only separated by a single point, highlighting the fine margins at play near the bottom half of the Bundesliga table.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 12 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 25 |
| St Pauli | 16 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 24 |
Potential Match-Winners
Neither team boasts a Bundesliga leader in goals, assists, or passing, but a collective approach means several players could step up. For Gladbach, Haris Tabaković has been central in attack, with the team producing a solid 41.05% shot accuracy and 82.66% pass completion. In midfield, Franck Honorat and Kevin Stöger help drive their possession game. At the back, Marvin Friedrich and Nico Elvedi anchor a defence with nine clean sheets but plenty of work to do given 43 goals conceded.
For St Pauli, Danel Sinani is the main attacking outlet, contributing to a team xG of 10.37. In midfield, Jackson Irvine and James Sands are key for transitions, while at the back Eric Smith and Adam Dzwigala have been heavily involved in clearances and tackles.
Head-to-Head: Last 3 Meetings
Gladbach have dominated recent head-to-heads, unbeaten in the last three with two wins and a draw, and a goal difference of +6. Here are the most recent results:
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 | St Pauli 0-4 Borussia Monchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| 06/04/25 | St Pauli 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| 24/11/24 | Borussia Monchengladbach 2-0 St Pauli | Bundesliga |
Will Gladbach’s Dominance Continue?
Gladbach have history, home advantage, and a slightly more potent attack in their favour. St Pauli’s ability to create high-quality chances (xG) makes them dangerous, but their leaky defence and recent head-to-head struggles suggest the hosts are better placed to claim the points. For those seeking value, 1/1 @ Bet365 (50.0%) on the home win stands out as the best bet for this Friday night clash at Borussia-Park.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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