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Squawka / News / Atalanta vs Napoli: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Atalanta vs Napoli: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Atalanta and Napoli meet in a crucial Serie A showdown that could shape the battle for European places, with just eight points separating the sides. The match kicks off at 2pm (UK time) on Sunday 22nd February at the Gewiss Stadium.

Best bets & predictions

Based on attacking trends and recent head-to-heads, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re especially confident in both teams finding the net, given their strong offensive stats and history of high-scoring meetings.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams to Score – Yes5/6 @ Betfair
(54.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing BTTS as both teams average over a goal per game (Atalanta 34 and Napoli 38 in 25 matches). Four of the last six meetings have also produced goals for both sides.
Over 2.5 Goals11/10 @ Bet365
(47.6%)
⭐⭐⭐There could be value here as four of the last six meetings have seen at last goals, and both teams rank top six in Serie A for goals scored this season.
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Atalanta vs Napoli odds

Season form & standings

2025-26 season to date: Napoli have been more clinical in front of goal and maintain a higher win percentage, but Atalanta’s defensive resilience keeps them in the European hunt. Both sides have a positive goal difference (+13).

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Napoli32515553825+1350
Atalanta72511953421+1342

Potential match-winners

  • Rasmus Hojlund (Napoli) – Leads these squads with eight goals and a standout 48.65% shot accuracy, plus 18 big chance assists, showing both scoring and creative threat.
  • Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta) – Seven goals and 13 chances created, his movement in the box is a constant problem for defences.
  • Scott McTominay (Napoli) – Six goals from midfield, with an impressive 88.32% pass accuracy and 16 chances created, makes late runs into the box and provides a link between defence and attack. Will be crucial if he passes his late fitness test.
  • Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta) – The main focal point up front, gets regular service and is priced at 7/4 @ Bet365 (36.4%) for an anytime goal.

Head-to-head

Last six meetings

Napoli have edged the last six meetings with four wins to Atalanta’s two, and both sides have scored in four of those games. The two anomalies were 3-0 away wins for Atalanata.

DateScoreCompetition
22/11/25Napoli 3-1 AtalantaSerie A
18/01/25Atalanta 2-3 NapoliSerie A
03/11/24Napoli 0-3 AtalantaSerie A
30/03/24Napoli 0-3 AtalantaSerie A
25/11/23Atalanta 1-2 NapoliSerie A
11/03/23Napoli 2-0 AtalantaSerie A

Final thoughts

With both teams boasting strong attacking line-ups and a consistent record of goals in recent contests, this fixture looks set for another lively encounter. Will Atalanta’s improved defence hold firm, or will Napoli’s sharper finishing prove decisive? Our standout tip is Both Teams to Score at 5/6 with Betfair (54.5%), which offers value given both sides’ attacking stats and recent head-to-heads.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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