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Squawka / News / Sassuolo vs Verona: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sassuolo vs Verona: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sassuolo welcome Verona to the Mapei Stadium in a clash that pits mid-table stability against outright relegation trouble. Kick-off is set for Friday evening at 19:45, and with Sassuolo boasting a dominant recent record over their visitors, Verona’s struggles make this a must-watch for those seeking value in the betting markets.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Sassuolo’s superior attacking stats and Verona’s poor form, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Sassuolo to take all three points given their strong head-to-head dominance and far greater firepower.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Sassuolo to Win19/20 @ Bet365
(51.3%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing Sassuolo to win because they’ve claimed victory in 8 of the last 13 meetings and come into this with a far better scoring record. Verona have just 2 wins all season and are propping up the table, while Sassuolo have netted 10 more goals and created significantly more big chances.
Over 2.5 Goals11/10 @ Betfair
(47.6%)
⭐⭐⭐There could be value here due to both teams’ defensive frailties: Sassuolo concede 1.4 goals per game, Verona even more at 1.7. Six of the last ten meetings have seen three or more goals, and neither side has been keeping many clean sheets.
Player to be Carded: Nemanja Matić10/3 @ Paddy Power
(23.1%)
⭐⭐⭐We are backing Matić for a booking. Both teams average over two yellow cards per game, and the midfield battle is set to be intense. Matić’s reputation and Verona’s desperation could see his name in the book again.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

Sassuolo vs Hellas Verona odds

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Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date. Sassuolo have established themselves in mid-table, while Verona sit rock bottom and are fighting to avoid the drop. The gulf in form is reflected in both the table and underlying stats.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Sassuolo102595112935-632
Verona202529141943-2415

Potential Match-Winners

No players from either squad feature among the league’s top scorers or assist providers, but Sassuolo do spread their attacking threat. Andrea Pinamonti (attacker) has been a reliable focal point, while Domenico Berardi and Armand Laurienté bring creativity and goal threat – Berardi in particular is noted for his shots on target and ability to win fouls high up the pitch.

For Verona, their forwards have struggled badly, averaging under 0.8 goals per game collectively, with no single player standing out in terms of output. In midfield, Nemanja Matić remains a key disruptor for Sassuolo and could play a pivotal role in dictating tempo and breaking up play.

Head-to-Head

Last 6 Meetings

Sassuolo have won four of the last six matches against Verona, underlining their recent dominance. Only one of those ended in a draw, and Verona’s lone win came back in March 2024.

DateScoreCompetition
03/10/25Verona 0-1 SassuoloSerie A
03/03/24Verona 1-0 SassuoloSerie A
01/09/23Sassuolo 3-1 VeronaSerie A
08/04/23Verona 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
24/10/22Sassuolo 2-1 VeronaSerie A
16/01/22Sassuolo 2-4 VeronaSerie A

Conclusion

Sassuolo look well set to extend their impressive run against Verona, boasting the sharper attack, more creativity, and superior head-to-head record. Verona’s lack of punch up front and leaky defence makes it hard to see past another home win – especially with 19/20 @ Bet365 (51.3% implied) on offer for a Sassuolo victory. Can Verona spring a surprise, or will Sassuolo’s class tell again?

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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