Resilient Freiburg host Borussia Monchengladbach in a clash that could have a big say in the Bundesliga‘s mid-table pecking order. Kick-off is at 2:30pm (UK time) on Sunday 22nd February at Europa-Park Stadion.
Best bets & predictions
Based on Freiburg’s superior head-to-head record and their tendency to recover points from losing positions, our top recommendation leans towards a home win. We’re also expecting both teams to find the net, given the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Here are our top betting recommendations for this match.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg to Win | 21/20 @ William Hill (48.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing Freiburg to win due to their nine-game unbeaten run against Borussia Monchengladbach. Freiburg also boast a higher goal tally this season and have shown a remarkable ability to recover points from losing positions (15 points gained after going behind). |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/11 @ Betfair (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to both sides’ defensive records. Freiburg have conceded 36 and Gladbach 37 this season. Their last six meetings have produced goals for both sides in four games, and their attacking metrics suggest both are likely to score again. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Given both teams’ average goals for and against per game, plus their recent H2H record, there’s a strong chance of at least three goals. Freiburg average 1.45 scored and 1.63 conceded per match, while Gladbach games average 2.82 total goals. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach odds
Season form & standings
2025-26 season to date: Freiburg sit solidly in the top half, eight points clear of their opponents and with a better goal difference. Gladbach, meanwhile, are looking to avoid being dragged into a relegation scrap. Both have had inconsistent spells, but Freiburg’s win percentage (36%) and ability to grind out results sets them apart.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | 8 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 30 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 13 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 22 |
Potential match-winners
With both sides preferring a direct approach and relying on contributions from a handful of key players rather than headline stars, the contest could be decided by which supporting cast steps up.
- Lucas Holer (Freiburg): The versatile attacker is often involved in Freiburg’s best moves and offers a goal threat.
- Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg): Freiburg’s creative hub and set-piece specialist, typically among the league’s top chance creators.
- Franck Honorat (Borussia Monchengladbach): The main creative force for Gladbach, with high chance creation stats per 90 minutes, and a consistent presence in the final third.
- Haris Tabakovic (Borussia Monchengladbach): A physical striker who can be effective in aerial duels and hold-up play, especially when Gladbach look to break quickly.
Head-to-Head
Freiburg have had the better of recent encounters, taking three wins and three draws from the last six meetings. In fact, Gladbach haven’t beaten Freiburg since April 2021.
Last six meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 | Borussia Monchengladbach 0-0 Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 12/04/25 | Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 30/11/24 | Freiburg 3-1 Borussia Monchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| 30/03/24 | Borussia Monchengladbach 0-3 Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 04/11/23 | Freiburg 3-3 Borussia Monchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| 04/03/23 | Borussia Monchengladbach 0-0 Freiburg | Bundesliga |
Across the last six, Freiburg are unbeaten, with Gladbach’s last win in this fixture coming several seasons ago.
Conclusion: Will Freiburg’s resilience and record prove decisive?
With Freiburg boasting a stronger head-to-head record, more goals, and an ability to dig themselves out of trouble, it’s hard to look past them for the win. Gladbach offer a threat going forward but have struggled to recover from setbacks, and their away record in this fixture is poor. Backing the home side at 21/20 @ William Hill (48.7%) looks the value play, while over 2.5 goals and both teams to score also appeal given both sides’ defensive records and attacking potential.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
