Top-four chasing Bayer Leverkusen travel to face middle-of-the-table Union Berlin in an intriguing Bundesliga clash this weekend. The game kicks off at 2:30pm (UK time) on Saturday 21st February at the Stadion An der Alten Forsterei.
Best bets & predictions
Based on a commanding head-to-head record and superior season-long metrics, our top betting recommendations lean towards Bayer Leverkusen continuing their recent run over Union. We’re particularly confident in Leverkusen to win due to their attacking efficiency and historical dominance, but there are other value angles in the goal markets too.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen to Win | 11/8 @ Bet365 (42.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Leverkusen have won five of the last seven meetings and are unbeaten away to Union since 2021. Their attack is among the Bundesliga’s best this season, and their pass and shot accuracy figures suggest a clear edge over the hosts. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | 23/20 @ Matchbook (46.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Union Berlin have found goals hard to come by against Leverkusen, scoring just once in their last four meetings. Leverkusen have kept more clean sheets and Union’s shot accuracy is the worst in the Bundesliga. |
| Under 1.5 Total Goals | 14/5 @ Betfair (26.3%) | ⭐⭐ | There is a strong trend towards tight, defensive contests between these two in Berlin – four of the last five have seen two or fewer goals. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen odds
Season form & standings
2025-26 season to date: Bayer Leverkusen sit sixth with a 57% win rate, while Union Berlin are mid-table in 10th. Leverkusen’s +16 goal difference reflects their attacking prowess, while Union’s -9 suggests a struggle at both ends.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 27 | +16 | 39 |
| Union Berlin | 10 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 25 |
Potential match-winners
- Patrik Schick (Bayer Leverkusen): The Czech striker remains a focal point, averaging high shot volume per 90 minutes and leading the line in a fluid Leverkusen attack that shares goals across the front.
- Andre Ilic (Union Berlin): One of Union’s most direct threats, Ilic will need to be clinical with limited service; Union average less than 40% possession and under 40% shot accuracy this term.
- Jonas Hofmann (Bayer Leverkusen): Key in transition, Hofmann’s chance creation and set piece delivery could be decisive, with Leverkusen’s 107 corners this season.
- Alex Kral (Union Berlin): The midfield engine, Kral’s work rate and ball-winning could be crucial in stifling Leverkusen’s build-up play.
Head-to-head
Last six Meetings
Bayer Leverkusen have won four of the last six encounters between these sides, conceding just twice in that run. Union Berlin’s only respites have been goalless draws in April 2023 and 2025.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 | Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 12/04/25 | Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 30/11/24 | Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 06/04/24 | Union Berlin 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 12/11/23 | Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 29/04/23 | Union Berlin 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
Conclusion: Can Union Berlin defy the odds?
On current form and with a weighty head-to-head advantage, Bayer Leverkusen look well-placed to take all three points in Berlin. Union’s defensive approach and reliance on set pieces may keep things tight, but Leverkusen’s slick attacking and greater depth give them the upper hand. Will Union Berlin find a way to frustrate their bogey side, or will Leverkusen justify our confidence at 11/8 @ Bet365 (42.1%)? Either way, expect a hard-fought contest with little margin for error.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
