Celta Vigo face Mallorca at Balaidos on Sunday in a clash that sees one side eyeing a push towards Europe and the other fighting to avoid the drop. Despite Celta’s mid-table security and Mallorca’s perilous position just inside the relegation zone, the head-to-head record remains surprisingly close, with both sides keen to seize momentum as the La Liga season enters its decisive phase.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Celta Vigo’s defensive record, Mallorca’s away struggles, and the home side’s superior passing game, here are our top betting recommendations for this fixture. We’re particularly confident in Celta Vigo to win, given their consistency at the back and Mallorca’s vulnerability on the road.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo to Win | 5/6 @ Betfair (54.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing Celta Vigo to win because their defence has delivered 7 clean sheets and they boast a far better goal difference (+5) than Mallorca’s (-10). Mallorca have lost half their league matches and conceded 39 times, while Celta have been much more reliable at home. |
| Both Teams to Score – No | 5/6 @ Betfair (54.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to Celta keeping 7 clean sheets already this season and Mallorca’s attack being inconsistent away from home. Three of the last six head-to-heads have ended with at least one team failing to score. Celta’s defensive discipline gives this bet a solid chance. |
| Vedat Muriqi Anytime Scorer | 12/5 @ Bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | While Mallorca have struggled, Muriqi has scored 16 goals this season (third in La Liga), including 6 headers. He is their main attacking outlet and will be a constant threat, especially from set pieces. If Mallorca score, he’s the likeliest source. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Celta Vigo vs Mallorca odds
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date: 24 matches played per team.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 7 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 27 | +5 | 34 |
| Mallorca | 18 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 24 |
Celta Vigo have been the more consistent outfit, with a positive goal difference and a defence that allows just over one goal per game. Mallorca, meanwhile, have found wins hard to come by and conceded nearly 40 goals already, putting them under significant pressure as the relegation battle intensifies.
Potential Match-Winners
- Iago Aspas (Celta Vigo): The experienced forward is still one of Celta’s main creative threats, if more so from the bench these days. His off-the-ball movement and ability to link play have yielded two goals and three assists and open up spaces for teammates.
- Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca): With 16 goals (6 headers), Muriqi is an aerial specialist and ranks among the league’s top scorers. He averages nearly 0.7 goals per game and is central to every Mallorca attack.
- Ferran Jutglà (Celta Vigo): A dynamic presence who can change the tempo and hurt teams in transition, Jutglà’s technical ability and directness add another threat for the home side.
Head-to-Head
Last 6 Meetings
The last six encounters between these teams have been tightly contested, with neither side able to establish clear dominance and three matches ending in draws.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 | Mallorca 1-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 05/04/25 | Mallorca 1-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 06/12/24 | Celta Vigo 2-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 13/01/24 | Mallorca 1-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 16/09/23 | Celta Vigo 0-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 17/04/23 | Celta Vigo 0-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
Conclusion
Will Celta Vigo’s superior defence and home advantage prove decisive, or can Mallorca’s set-piece threat keep their survival hopes alive? With Celta’s greater consistency and Mallorca’s poor defensive numbers, we’re tipping Celta Vigo to edge it—especially at 5/6 (54.5%) with Betfair. This is a huge opportunity for the hosts to strengthen their European bid, but if Mallorca’s Muriqi finds space, he could make things interesting.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
