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    Squawka / News / Birmingham City vs Leeds United: predictions, stats, tips & odds

    Birmingham City vs Leeds United: predictions, stats, tips & odds

    Two sides with a rich history of tightly contested battles face off as Birmingham City welcome Leeds United.

    Recent encounters have seen the momentum swing both ways, but with Leeds boasting a slightly superior head-to-head record and a statistical edge in key areas, this clash at St Andrew’s promises high stakes and drama. Kick-off is set for Sunday at 12:00 PM, with both teams looking to stake an early claim in the FA Cup campaign.

    Best Bets & Predictions

    Based on Leeds’ dominance in possession, superior shot volume, and a head-to-head record that narrowly favours the visitors, here are our top betting recommendations. We’re particularly confident in backing Leeds United to win, given their high pass accuracy and attacking output.

    Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
    Leeds United to Win20/21 @ Bet365
    (51.3%)    		⭐⭐⭐⭐Leeds outperformed Birmingham in shots, possession, and passing. Won 5 of last 9 H2Hs.
    Both Teams to Score: Yes4/6 @ Bet365
    (60.0%)    		⭐⭐⭐Birmingham showed clinical finishing; 5 of last 9 H2Hs saw both teams score.

    Odds correct at the time of writing.

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    Season Form & Standings

    Both of these sides entered the FA Cup in the third round, where Birmingham overcame Cambridge United 3-2 and Leeds beat Derby County 3-1.

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Joël Piroe (Leeds United): Regularly among the shots, benefits from Leeds’ high key pass rate (17 last match). Watch for attempts on target.
    • Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham City): Known for sharp movement and conversion rates; crucial if Birmingham are to capitalise on limited chances.
    • Daniel James (Leeds United): His pace and dribbling have forced defensive errors; look for involvement in assists or shots.
    • Jay Stansfield (Birmingham City): Can exploit Leeds’ advanced full-backs on the break, especially if Birmingham play direct.

    Head-to-Head: Last 9 Meetings

    Leeds United hold a narrow edge, winning 5 of the last 9 official encounters, with Birmingham winning 4. Notably, there have been no draws in this period—each match has produced a winner, often by a single-goal margin. Leeds have outscored Birmingham 15 to 10 over these meetings.

    DateScoreCompetition
    01/01/24Leeds United 3-0 Birmingham CityChampionship
    12/08/23Birmingham City 1-0 Leeds UnitedChampionship
    29/12/19Birmingham City 4-5 Leeds UnitedChampionship
    19/10/19Leeds United 1-0 Birmingham CityChampionship
    06/04/19Birmingham City 1-0 Leeds UnitedChampionship
    22/09/18Leeds United 1-2 Birmingham CityChampionship
    30/12/17Birmingham City 1-0 Leeds UnitedChampionship
    12/09/17Leeds United 2-0 Birmingham CityChampionship
    03/03/17Birmingham City 1-3 Leeds UnitedChampionship

    Conclusion

    Will Leeds’ technical superiority and recent head-to-head edge prove decisive, or can Birmingham capitalise on home advantage and their knack for converting chances? With both teams showing attacking threat and no clear-cut star among the league’s top scorers, this FA Cup tie could be decided by fine margins. Our top selection remains Leeds United to win at 20/21 (51.3%) with Bet365, given their underlying stats and consistency in this fixture.

    Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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