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Squawka / News / Hoffenheim vs Freiburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Hoffenheim return to home soil in buoyant mood as they welcome Freiburg, aiming to reinforce their top-three ambitions against a side they have struggled to overcome in recent meetings.

With the hosts flying high in the Bundesliga table and Freiburg seeking consistency, this fixture at the PreZero Arena is set up as a pivotal contest. Kick-off is at 14:30 on Saturday 14 February.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Hoffenheim’s formidable attacking returns and the trend of tight, competitive head-to-heads, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a home win given Hoffenheim’s firepower and Freiburg’s mixed away form.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Hoffenheim to Win8/11 @ Betfair
(57.9%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing Hoffenheim to win because they have scored 44 goals this season (best among the two) and boast a 62% win rate, compared to Freiburg’s 38%. At home, their attacking output and conversion rate give them an edge.
Both Teams To Score – No13/10 @ Matchbook
(43.5%)
⭐⭐⭐There could be value here due to both sides keeping five clean sheets apiece this season. Hoffenheim’s defence has conceded just 28 goals (best in this fixture), while Freiburg have struggled to score in some away games.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.


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Season Form & Standings

Hoffenheim have emerged as genuine contenders, sitting 3rd in the Bundesliga with 42 points from 21 matches and an attacking record that stands out. Freiburg, while solid, are 7th on 30 points and have found consistency harder to come by.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Hoffenheim32113354428+1642
Freiburg7218673233-130

Potential Match-Winners

Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim): The creative heartbeat for Hoffenheim, Kramaric has netted 9 times and delivered 4 assists so far, boasting a 50% shot accuracy and an impressive 84.9% pass completion rate. He’s involved in most of Hoffenheim’s attacks and is often the difference-maker in tight games.

Fisnik Asllani (Hoffenheim): Six goals and four assists highlight Asllani’s regular involvement, though his shot accuracy (34.6%) and passing (69.3%) trail Kramaric. If Hoffenheim need a poacher’s finish, he’s the man on the spot.

Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg): Freiburg’s chief playmaker, Grifo, has six goals and one assist. While his shot accuracy is low this season, his 82.9% pass accuracy underpins much of Freiburg’s build-up play. He’ll be crucial if Freiburg are to create clear chances on the road.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Freiburg have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last six, with two draws and just one Hoffenheim victory. The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw earlier this season.

DateScoreCompetition
28/09/25Freiburg 1-1 HoffenheimBundesliga
19/04/25Freiburg 3-2 HoffenheimBundesliga
08/12/24Hoffenheim 1-1 FreiburgBundesliga
20/01/24Freiburg 3-2 HoffenheimBundesliga
19/08/23Hoffenheim 1-2 FreiburgBundesliga
12/03/23Freiburg 2-1 HoffenheimBundesliga

Will Hoffenheim finally turn their attacking dominance into a statement win?

With Hoffenheim’s superior attacking numbers and a squad brimming with confidence, this is their chance to reverse a poor head-to-head run and cement their status as top-three challengers. Can Freiburg’s resilience and history in this fixture spring another surprise, or will Hoffenheim’s firepower prove too much? We’re backing Hoffenheim to deliver at 8/11 with Betfair (57.9%) based on their current season edge.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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