Mid-table Alavés welcome relegation-threatened Getafe in a clash where both sides have much at stake.
Alavés, buoyed by a recent climb up the La Liga table, will look to build on their home strengths, while Getafe aim to halt a worrying slide. Kick-off is set for Sunday at Mendizorrotza, with both teams needing points to shape their seasons.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the season’s underlying numbers and head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Alavés to win, given their superior attacking metrics and home advantage, as well as Getafe’s struggles in front of goal.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés to Win | 13/10 @ Betfair (43.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing Alavés to win because they create more and better-quality chances (xG 26.8 vs 18.3), average more shots, and have the home edge. Getafe have managed just 16 goals in 22 games and have not won at this ground in the last six meetings. |
| Lucas Boyé Anytime Goalscorer | 9/4 @ Bet365 (30.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Boyé is due a goal, having registered a high number of shots for Alavés. Given Getafe’s recent defensive dips on the road, he could be the difference up front. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Alavés have climbed to 10th, showing signs of upward momentum, while Getafe remain in the relegation mix at 17th. Both sides have struggled for goals, but Alavés’ stronger underlying numbers and home form give them the edge in this matchup.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 10 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 25 |
| Getafe | 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 23 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Lucas Boyé (Alavés): The main attacking threat for the hosts, Boyé leads the line and often gets into good shooting positions. He averages a high number of attempts per game and is overdue a goal.
- Luis Milla (Getafe): With 7 assists, Milla is Getafe’s creative spark, particularly from set pieces—having delivered 79 corners and 43 accurate crosses from corners this season.
- Antonio Sivera (Alavés): Sivera has three clean sheets this season and will look to guide a defence that has improved in recent home outings.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
The last five encounters have been tight, with Getafe edging the record but draws common. Their most recent meeting finished 1-1, with only one game in this spell producing more than two goals.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 24/09/25 | Getafe 1-1 Alavés | La Liga |
| 09/02/25 | Alavés 0-1 Getafe | La Liga |
| 28/09/24 | Getafe 2-0 Alavés | La Liga |
| 18/05/24 | Alavés 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| 28/08/23 | Getafe 1-0 Alavés | La Liga |
Conclusion: Will Alavés Make Home Advantage Count?
Alavés’ superior attacking output and ball control give them a real edge, but their tendency to underperform their xG means this could still be a close affair. Getafe’s defensive discipline could frustrate, but their attacking limitations tip the balance towards the hosts. If you fancy Alavés to take all three points, 13/10 with Betfair (43.5%) looks a solid price.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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