Bologna welcome Parma to the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara this Sunday, with kick-off at 11:30, in a clash that pits mid-table stability against relegation worries.
This Serie A encounter carries extra intrigue thanks to Bologna’s recent head-to-head dominance and their far superior attacking output so far this campaign.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Bologna’s attacking edge and strong head-to-head record, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Bologna to win, given their ability to create and convert more chances than Parma over the season.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna to Win | 4/7 @ Bet365 (63.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing Bologna to win because they’ve scored more than double Parma’s goals this season (32 vs 15) and have won four of their last six meetings against them, including a 3-1 away victory this term. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams have combined for just 47 goals in 46 league matches (just over 2 per game), and Parma have failed to score in more than a third of their away games this campaign. Recent H2Hs have also trended towards lower scores. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Bologna are sitting comfortably mid-table in 10th, while Parma are lingering just above the drop zone in 16th. Bologna’s 32 goals for and +2 goal difference contrast sharply with Parma’s -15 goal difference and league-low scoring rate. Both sides have shipped exactly 30 goals, but Bologna’s greater offensive threat and higher possession (55% vs 43%) are decisive factors in their more secure league position.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 10 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 30 |
| Parma | 16 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 23 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Lewis Ferguson (Bologna): Dynamic midfielder, contributing to Bologna’s impressive 17 goals from midfield this season. Regularly involved in build-up and chance creation.
- Federico Bernardeschi (Bologna): Experienced attacker, capable of delivering a moment of quality from open play or set pieces. His shot volume and ability to cut inside could trouble Parma’s back line.
- Mateo Pellegrino (Parma): Key striker for Parma, involved in nearly half of their total goals. If Parma are to threaten, Pellegrino’s finishing and movement will be crucial.
- Adrián Bernabé (Parma): One of the few creative sparks in Parma’s midfield, Bernabé is capable of progressing the ball and is often involved in their rare attacking surges.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Bologna have had the upper hand over Parma in recent years, winning four of the last six encounters and losing just once, including a 3-1 away victory earlier this season.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 02/11/25 | Parma 1-3 Bologna | Serie A |
| 22/02/25 | Parma 2-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| 06/10/24 | Bologna 0-0 Parma | Serie A |
| 07/02/21 | Parma 0-3 Bologna | Serie A |
| 28/09/20 | Bologna 4-1 Parma | Serie A |
| 12/07/20 | Parma 2-2 Bologna | Serie A |
Conclusion: Will Bologna’s Attack Prove the Difference?
Bologna have shown significantly more attacking intent and quality than Parma all season, and their strong head-to-head record makes them rightful favourites. The stats suggest that while neither side is watertight defensively, Parma’s goal struggles and poor away record could be decisive. Backing Bologna to win at 4/7 @ Bet365 (63.6%) looks a solid play in this context.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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