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Squawka / News / Bologna vs Milan: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Bologna vs Milan: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Milan travel to Bologna for a high-stakes Serie A clash where the visitors’ defensive steel and head-to-head dominance are sure to be put to the test.

With Milan boasting a remarkable run against Bologna and sitting second in the league, while Bologna look for a statement win to spark their season, expect a fascinating contest at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara. Kick-off is set for Tuesday, 19:45 local time.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Milan’s defensive record and their strong head-to-head advantage, our top tips are focused on Milan’s resilience and both teams’ attacking intent. We’re particularly confident in Milan to win, given their excellent away form and historical supremacy in this fixture.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Milan to win11/10 @ Bet365
(47.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We’re backing Milan to win because they have lost just one of their last 18 meetings with Bologna and have conceded only 17 goals this season. Their defensive solidity and clinical edge make them strong favourites here.
Over 2.5 Goals1/1 @ Bet365
(50.0%)
⭐⭐⭐We’re targeting over 2.5 goals as both teams have created over 65 big chances combined this season and recent head-to-heads have featured plenty of attacking football.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Milan have emerged as one of the league’s most consistent sides, while Bologna remain in the hunt for European places despite recent inconsistencies. Here’s how both teams stand after 22 matches:

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Milan22213813517+1847
Bologna8228683227+530

Milan have the second-best defence, conceding just 17 goals and keeping 10 clean sheets. Bologna, while respectable in attack, have been vulnerable at the back and have struggled for consistency, with 8 wins and 8 losses.

Potential Match-Winners

  • Rafael Leão (Milan): Renowned for his dribbling and chance creation, Leão averages over 2 shots per game and is often Milan’s main attacking outlet.
  • Niclas Füllkrug (Milan): Brings a physical presence and averages more than 1.2 shots on target per 90, making him a threat in the box.
  • Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna): Bologna’s creative spark, Orsolini has the ability to unlock defences and is often involved in their key attacking moves.
  • Ciro Immobile (Bologna): A proven finisher, Immobile’s movement in the final third could trouble Milan’s backline, especially if he finds space on the counter.

Head-to-head: Last 5 Meetings

Milan have dominated this fixture, winning 4 of the last 6 clashes and losing only once to Bologna since 2023. Recent meetings have often featured goals at both ends, but Milan’s edge in tight games is clear.

DateScoreCompetition
14/09/25Milan 1-0 BolognaSerie A
09/05/25Milan 3-1 BolognaSerie A
27/02/25Bologna 2-1 MilanSerie A
27/01/24Milan 2-2 BolognaSerie A
21/08/23Bologna 0-2 MilanSerie A

Conclusion

Will Milan extend their dominance over Bologna, or can the hosts spring a surprise with their attacking intent? Given Milan’s defensive reliability, superior passing, and head-to-head track record, it’s hard to look past the visitors. For those backing form and history, 11/10 @ Bet365 on Milan to win (47.6%) looks like standout value in this clash.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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