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Squawka / News / Lyon vs PAOK: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Lyon vs PAOK: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Lyon welcome PAOK in a high-stakes night in the Europa League this Thursday. Kick-off is set for 20:00 at Groupama Stadium, with both teams desperate for a statement win as the knockout rounds loom.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on current season stats, our best betting angles focus on Lyon’s defensive strength and the likelihood of both teams getting on the scoresheet. We’re especially confident in backing Lyon to win at home, given their exceptional defensive record and dominant group performance.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Lyon to Win4/6 @ Bet365
(60.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing Lyon to win because they have conceded just 3 goals in 7 matches (0.43 per game), the best defensive record in the competition. With 6 wins in 7 and top spot secured, home advantage further boosts their prospects.
Correct Score 1-113/2 @ Bet365
(13.3%)
⭐⭐With both teams boasting strong defensive numbers and neither having a top-3 tournament scorer, a cagey draw is a possible outcome. The price looks generous for a likely tight contest.

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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date: Lyon have set the pace, sitting top of the group with a stellar 86% win rate. PAOK have climbed to 12th after a sluggish start, but their attack makes them dangerous.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Lyon17601143+1118
PAOK1273311510+512

Potential Match-Winners

  • Endrick (Lyon) – The young attacker is emerging as a key threat, leading the line in recent games. Look for his movement and shots on target to trouble the PAOK backline.
  • Andrija Zivkovic (PAOK) – Regularly involved in PAOK’s attacking moves, Zivkovic offers creativity and a goal threat, averaging plenty of touches in the final third.
  • Ainsley Maitland-Niles (Lyon) – His ability to win duels and contribute both defensively and offensively has helped Lyon control midfield battles.
  • Taison (PAOK) – An experienced head in attack, Taison’s ability to create chances and link play will be vital if PAOK are to break down Lyon’s back line.

Head-to-Head

Last 6 Meetings

This will be the first competitive meeting between Lyon and PAOK, adding extra intrigue to the encounter.

DateScoreCompetition
N/ANo previous meetings

Will Lyon’s defence stand firm against PAOK’s firepower?

Lyon have been a model of consistency and defensive solidity this season, while PAOK bring a more attacking edge but with some defensive frailties. The numbers suggest home advantage and organisation could be decisive, making 4/6 @ Bet365 on a Lyon victory look a fair bet. However, with PAOK’s ability to score against any opponent, backing both teams to score at 8/11 @ Bet365 could also appeal for those seeking value.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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