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Squawka / News / PSG vs Newcastle: predictions, stats, tips & odds

PSG vs Newcastle: predictions, stats, tips & odds

PSG and Newcastle meet at Parc des Princes in a pivotal Champions League clash on 28 January, with kick-off set for 20:00. Both sides are level in sixth and seventh heading into the final group stage game. Find our match preview and best bets below. 

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
PSG to Win & Over 2.5 goals10/11 @ Bet365
(52.4%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Newcastle have struggled on the road this season, winning just 3 of their 14 Premier League and Champions League matches. In Paris Saint-Germain, they face one of the toughest teams in Europe, and with players such as Hakimi returning from AFCON, this looks like a tough task for the Toon. Eddie Howe is also potentially without Sandro Tonali and Joelinton, while Bruno Guimaraes missed the defeat to Villa last Sunday. 
PSG -1 Handicap6/4 @ Betfair
(25.0%)
⭐⭐⭐

PSG have been strong at the Parc des Princes, winning five of their last six home games and putting themselves in position to secure a place in the last 16 with another victory. Playing in familiar surroundings, the French champions will be confident of getting the job done.

Newcastle did take a point in Paris two seasons ago, but the balance of power has shifted since then. PSG have gone on to win the Champions League and arrive with the most potent attack in the league phase, having scored 20 goals, the joint highest total in the competition.

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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams go into PSG vs Newcastle

Paris Saint-Germain can take another big step towards defending their Champions League title with a win this week, which would secure their place in the last 16 for the 14th season in a row. They also arrive in strong domestic form after returning to the top of Ligue 1, giving Luis Enrique’s side confidence heading into Wednesday’s match.

Home form has largely been reliable, with PSG winning five of their last six games at the Parc des Princes and usually finishing the group stage strongly. They also boast a solid recent record against English teams in Paris, adding to the belief that another home victory could be on the cards.

Newcastle have already made history by reaching the Champions League knockout rounds for the first time, with a place in the playoffs secured at minimum. Eddie Howe’s side will be aiming higher, knowing that a win could lift them into the top eight while also ending a short winless run away from home in the competition.

Form has been mixed in recent weeks, with just one victory from their last four matches in all competitions and goals proving hard to come by. Away from St James’ Park results have also been limited, and they have never beaten a Ligue 1 side in France, although Newcastle can take confidence from the fact they remain unbeaten against PSG in the Champions League.

PSG team news

PSG are dealing with several fitness concerns ahead of Wednesday, with Fabian Ruiz sidelined by a knee injury, Matvey Safonov struggling with a hand injury, and Joao Neves facing doubts due to thigh and muscle issues. Nuno Mendes and Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha are also nursing knocks, while Achraf Hakimi could be assessed late after returning from the Africa Cup of Nations, though Lucas Hernandez is available again following suspension. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia scored on matchday seven, and Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue are pushing to start after substitute appearances against Auxerre.

Newcastle team news

Newcastle face several injury concerns with Jacob Murphy and Tino Livramento sidelined by hamstring strains, Jamaal Lascelles carrying a muscle issue, and Fabian Schar and Bruno Guimaraes doubtful with ankle problems. Joelinton is expected to start despite a minor knock, while William Osula, who missed the Champions League win over PSV, was on the bench against Aston Villa. In that PSV match, Yoane Wissa, Guimaraes, and Harvey Barnes all scored, and Nick Pope kept his fourth clean sheet of the tournament with just one save.

Season Form & Standings

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
PSG674122010+1013
Newcastle77412166+1013

Head-to-Head

Newcastle have the edge in recent meetings, unbeaten in their last two against PSG, including a 4-1 home win in 2023/24. Both teams found the net in each encounter, with Newcastle outscoring PSG 5-2 across those matches.

Last 6 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
28/11/23PSG 1-1 NewcastleChampions League
04/10/23Newcastle 4-1 PSGChampions League

Conclusion

This PSG side have plenty of experience with dealing with high-pressure nights in the Champions League. Newcastle were really poor on Sunday against Aston Villa and could well struggle here. Back the hosts to win and over 2.5 goals to be scored at even money (1/1).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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