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Squawka / News / Bologna vs Celtic: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Bologna vs Celtic: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Bologna face Celtic in a Europa League showdown that pits one of the tournament’s tightest defences against an attack-minded side struggling for balance.

Kick-off is set for 17:45 on Thursday at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, as both teams look to boost their continental credentials. Bologna’s gritty defensive record collides with Celtic’s technical efficiency, setting the stage for a fascinating tactical contest.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on current form and season stats, these are our best betting recommendations for this clash. We’re especially confident in a Bologna win, given their defensive superiority and Celtic’s recent frailties at the back.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Bologna to Win40/85 @ Bet365
(68.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing Bologna to win because they have conceded just 5 goals all season, less than half the number Celtic have allowed, and boast superior aerial and tackling figures. Celtic’s leaky defence and Bologna’s home form suggest value in the hosts, even at a short price.
Both Teams to Score: No20/21 @ Bet365
(51.2%)
⭐⭐⭐There could be value here as Bologna’s matches have been low-scoring and they’ve kept a clean sheet in one of six, while Celtic have failed to break through stronger defences and average just over a goal per game. Bologna’s defensive structure may frustrate Celtic’s frontline.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Bologna have excelled defensively, shipping just 5 goals in 6 matches (0.83 per game) while averaging 1.5 goals scored. Celtic, despite technical quality, have conceded 11 goals (1.83 per game) and managed only 7 scored. Both sides are mid-table in continental competition but Bologna’s superior goal difference (+6) highlights their efficiency at both ends.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Bologna13632195+411
Celtic246213711-47

Potential Match-Winners

Bologna: With no standout top scorer, Bologna’s goals are spread across the team—Jon Rowe and Riccardo Orsolini are likely to play key attacking roles. Rowe, a proven finisher, could be decisive if given chances, while Orsolini’s directness and ability to win fouls in advanced areas may trouble Celtic’s back line. Defensively, Torbjorn Heggem’s organisation and the aerial prowess of Charalampos Lykogiannis will be vital, with the team averaging nearly 15 successful aerial duels per match.

Celtic: Celtic’s attacking threat is similarly distributed. Benjamin Nygren brings experience and a knack for arriving in dangerous areas, while Daizen Maeda offers relentless running and pressing. Reo Hatate, with his creativity from midfield, could be key to unlocking Bologna. Celtic rely on technical precision: their pass accuracy (84.7%) and shot accuracy (46.2%) are among the best in the group stages, though translating that into goals has been a challenge.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

There are no recent competitive meetings between Bologna and Celtic. This fresh match-up adds intrigue, with no direct historical patterns to lean on.

DateScoreCompetition
No previous meetings

Will Bologna’s Defence Decide It?

Bologna’s resilience at the back is the single biggest factor heading into this tie. Celtic’s attack may find joy in possession, but their record against well-organised sides has been patchy. With the hosts showing more consistency and efficiency, backing Bologna to win at 40/85 with Bet365 (68.0%) looks justified, while a low-scoring game—such as Both Teams to Score: No at 20/21 (51.2%)—is another angle worth considering if you expect Bologna’s defensive discipline to prevail.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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