Sixth-placed Como travel to the Stadio Olimpico on Monday, 19 January, for a high-stakes Serie A clash with Lazio—a meeting that could have significant implications for the European spots.
Both sides have tasted victory in this fixture recently, but with Como boasting a stronger season both in attack and defence, the stage is set for a tightly contested encounter in Rome. Kick-off is set for 19:45, with streaming options available for fans.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on season stats and recent trends, here are our top betting recommendations for Lazio vs Como. We’re particularly confident in both teams finding the net, given their matching shot accuracy and the attacking output of Como’s star man. For those seeking a bigger price, the draw also appeals, with little to separate the sides in recent head-to-heads and league standings.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 20/21 @ Bet365 (51.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing both teams to score because both Lazio and Como average over a goal per game and share similar shot accuracy (46% on target). Como have scored in 17 of 19 league matches, while Lazio have netted in 16 of 20. The last three head-to-heads have produced goals at both ends twice. |
| Draw | 15/8 @ Bet365 (34.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to the closely matched form: one win apiece and one draw in the last three meetings, with neither team dominating. Lazio have drawn 7 of their 20 league games, and Como 7 of 19—both among the highest in Serie A this season. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Como have impressed with 1.42 goals per game and a +12 goal difference, conceding just 0.68 per match. Lazio, though strong at home, have struggled for consistency, drawing and losing almost as many as they have won. Both have kept plenty of clean sheets (Como 9, Lazio 10), with Como boasting a higher possession average (60.7% vs 50.9%).
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 6 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 34 |
| Lazio | 9 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 28 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Nicolas Paz (Como): 6 goals and 6 assists in 19 games, involved in 44% of Como’s league goals. His creativity (XA 1.06) and finishing (xG 1.19) make him a key dual threat.
- Tasos Douvikas (Como): 6 goals, xG 1.99, used primarily as a finisher. His knack for finding space inside the box is a vital asset for Como.
- Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio): Lazio’s leader for expected assists (XA 1.04), and a regular starter in attack—yet to register an actual assist, showing potential for a breakout performance.
- Pedro (Lazio): A seasoned attacker with the ability to turn a match, especially if Como focus too much on Cancellieri and leave gaps for others.
Head-to-Head: Last 3 Meetings
The last three clashes between Lazio and Como have produced a win each and one draw, with Lazio holding a slight edge on goals (6–4). Recent results suggest little to separate them, and no side has managed back-to-back wins in this fixture.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 | Como 2-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| 10/01/25 | Lazio 1-1 Como | Serie A |
| 31/10/24 | Como 1-5 Lazio | Serie A |
Will Comos possession style trump Lazios home edge?
Both Lazio and Como bring reasons for optimism into this match. Comos greater attacking output and ball retention could be decisive, especially with Paz Martinez pulling the strings and Douvikas in clinical form. Lazio, for their part, remain a tough proposition at the Olimpico but must find a way to unlock a Como defence that rarely concedes. Our recommendation: back both teams to score at 20/21 with Bet365 (51.2%), while the draw at 15/8 (34.8%) is a solid alternative for those seeking a bigger price.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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