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Squawka / News / Real Madrid vs Levante: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Real Madrid vs Levante: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Real Madrid return to the Santiago Bernabéu on a mission to keep their La Liga title challenge on track, hosting a Levante side languishing near the foot of the table. Kick-off is set for 1:00pm on Saturday, with the gulf in class clear on recent form and across the season’s numbers. After dismantling Levante 4-1 away earlier this campaign and boasting the division’s most in-form striker, Real are heavy favourites—but can Levante spring a surprise?

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Real Madrid’s dominant attacking output and Levante’s defensive frailties, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing the hosts to win convincingly, given their overwhelming statistical edge and head-to-head record.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Real Madrid to Win & Over 2.5 Goals2/7 @ Bet365
(77.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing Real Madrid, who average 2.16 goals per match, to find the net multiple times against a Levante defence conceding 1.67 per game. The last two meetings saw 4 and 6 goals respectively.
Both Teams to Score – No10/11 @ Bet365
(52.4%)
⭐⭐⭐Real have kept eight clean sheets and concede under a goal per game, while Levante have failed to score in three of their last four away outings versus top-half sides.

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Odds correct at the time of writing.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date. Real Madrid are flying near the summit with 45 points from 19 matches (14W, 3D, 2L), while Levante are entrenched in the relegation zone on just 14 points and have won only three times all season. The contrast in both goal difference (+24 for Real, -9 for Levante) and win rate (74% vs 17%) underlines the challenge facing the visitors.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Real Madrid21914324117+2445
Levante191835102130-914

Potential Match-Winners

  • Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid): 18 goals, 7 big chances created, 4.6 shots per 90, 88.5% pass accuracy. The league’s standout performer and the focal point of Madrid’s attack.
  • Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid): Key creator with pace and dribbling; supports Mbappé in stretching defences, contributing to Madrid’s league-leading 53 big chances.
  • Kareem Tunde Ruiz (Levante): Levante’s main attacking outlet, but faces a tough ask against a defence conceding under a goal per game.

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last five encounters—including a 4-1 away win earlier this season. Levante, however, have managed to frustrate Madrid occasionally, as seen in a memorable 3-3 draw. Here are the last six results:

DateScoreCompetition
23/09/25Levante 1-4 Real MadridLa Liga
12/05/22Real Madrid 6-0 LevanteLa Liga
22/08/21Levante 3-3 Real MadridLa Liga
30/01/21Real Madrid 1-2 LevanteLa Liga
04/10/20Levante 0-2 Real MadridLa Liga

Will Real Madrid cruise to another big win?

All signs point to Real Madrid dominating this fixture, but football always has room for surprises. With the league’s most potent attack, home advantage, and Kylian Mbappé in electric form, Madrid look set to keep their title ambitions alive. For those seeking value, combining a home win with over 2.5 goals, or backing Mbappé to find the net again at Bet365, both stand out as logical selections.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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