Struggling Pisa welcome a well-drilled Atalanta side in a Serie A clash that could have major implications at both ends of the table. With Pisa rooted to the bottom and Atalanta pushing for European places, all eyes will be on the Arena Garibaldi this Friday 8:00pm kick-off. Recent history suggests a close contest—these sides drew 1-1 in their only recent meeting—but the gulf in season-long form is hard to ignore.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Pisa’s defensive frailties and Atalanta’s consistent chance creation, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Atalanta to win, given the strong statistical edge in attack and defence.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta to Win | 8/13 @ Bet365 (61.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Atalanta have scored 25 goals in 20 games and boast a strong xG (17.68) with 7 clean sheets, while Pisa have shipped 30 and won just once all season. The visitors’ superior attack and defensive record stand out. |
| Gianluca Scamacca Anytime Scorer | 11/10 @ Bet365 (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Scamacca has emerged as Atalanta’s chief goal threat and faces a Pisa side that rarely keeps clean sheets. His ability to get on the end of high-quality chances makes him a strong pick to find the net. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date
Atalanta sit 7th with 31 points from 20 games, while Pisa languish at the foot of the table with just one win and a league-worst 13 points from 20 matches. The visitors’ goal difference of +6 contrasts sharply with Pisa’s -15, highlighting the gap in quality between the two squads.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionale | 1 | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 17 | +25 | 43 |
| Milan | 2 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 30 | 15 | +15 | 40 |
| Napoli | 3 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 17 | +13 | 39 |
| Juventus | 4 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 16 | +16 | 39 |
| Roma | 5 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 12 | +12 | 39 |
| Como | 6 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 34 |
| Atalanta | 7 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 31 |
| Pisa | 20 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 13 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta): Leads Atalanta’s line and is the focal point for their chance creation. With the visitors generating 1.25 goals per game and Scamacca on penalty duties, expect him to be in prime scoring positions throughout.
- Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta): A key link in Atalanta’s attack, contributing regularly to shots on target and progressive carries into the box. His movement helps stretch defensive lines.
- Lorenzo Tosi (Pisa): One of Pisa’s few attacking bright sparks, often responsible for getting behind defences and producing efforts on target, though service has been limited.
Head-to-Head
Last 6 Meetings
These sides have met just once in recent top-flight history, with the points shared in a 1-1 draw earlier this season.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 | Atalanta 1-1 Pisa | Serie A |
Conclusion: Will Atalanta’s Quality Prevail?
Given Pisa’s defensive struggles and Atalanta’s ability to control games and create chances, it’s tough to see past an away win—especially with the visitors boasting a much superior record in possession, goals, and defensive solidity. The value is on Atalanta to win at 8/13 @ Bet365 (61.9%), but there could also be goals on offer for punters seeking higher returns.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
