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Squawka / News / Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Bayer Leverkusen welcome Stuttgart to the BayArena in a clash with significant implications for the Bundesliga top six. Leverkusen, boasting a formidable home record in this fixture, are looking to strengthen their grip on a Champions League spot, while Stuttgart aim to close the gap and prove they can compete with the league’s best. The match kicks off on Saturday at 3:30 PM, promising an intriguing encounter between two sides with contrasting approaches but similar ambition.

 


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Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Leverkusen’s historical dominance in this fixture and their superior attacking efficiency, our top betting recommendations lean towards the hosts, with value also found in goals and both teams to score markets. We’re particularly confident in a Bayer Leverkusen win, given their 8 victories in the last 14 head-to-heads and a stronger goal difference this season.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Bayer Leverkusen to Win10/11 @ Bet365
(52.4%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Leverkusen have won 8 of the last 14 vs Stuttgart; stronger attack and home edge.
Both Teams to Score – Yes4/9 @ Bet365
(69.2%)
⭐⭐⭐BTTS has landed in 4 of the last 5 meetings; both sides average over 1.5 goals per game.

Our approach: Start with Leverkusen to win, add BTTS for accumulator potential.

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Odds correct at the time of writing.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date
Both teams are enjoying strong campaigns, with Leverkusen sitting third on 29 points and Stuttgart close behind in sixth on 26. Leverkusen have a superior goal difference (+13) and have been more ruthless in front of goal, scoring 33 in 15 matches, while Stuttgart have netted 25 but boast a slightly tighter defence with more clean sheets.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Bayer Leverkusen3159243320+1329
Stuttgart6158252522+326

Potential Match-Winners

  • Eliesse Ben Seghir (Leverkusen): Key attacker, thrives in tight spaces and benefits from Leverkusen’s high pass accuracy (89.1%).
  • Nathan Tella (Leverkusen): Adds pace and directness to Leverkusen’s attack, likely to get chances with Leverkusen creating 37 big chances this season.
  • Deniz Undav (Stuttgart): Stuttgart’s top scorer with 8 goals, though his shot accuracy (30.8%) is below the league’s best. Can still be decisive if given opportunities.
  • Thomas Kastanaras (Stuttgart): Young attacker who could exploit Leverkusen’s high defensive line if given space.

Head-to-head

Leverkusen have historically dominated this fixture, winning 8 of the last 14 meetings with Stuttgart. The last five encounters have produced goals and drama, with only one win for Stuttgart in that span.

Last 5 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
16/03/25Stuttgart 3-4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
01/11/24Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 StuttgartBundesliga
27/04/24Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 StuttgartBundesliga
10/12/23Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
14/05/23Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

Conclusion

Leverkusen’s sharp passing and home advantage make them favourites, but Stuttgart’s knack for clean sheets and clinical finishing could keep things close. Will Leverkusen’s attacking power prove too much, or can Stuttgart spring a surprise? Our strongest pick remains a Bayer Leverkusen win at 10/11 with Bet365 (52.4% implied probability) – combining historical dominance with current form.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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