Lazio welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday, 7 January, for a clash between two sides experiencing very different seasons in Serie A.
With kick-off approaching, the hosts look to build on a solid defensive record and a clear historical edge in this fixture, while Fiorentina are desperate to reverse their fortunes and climb from the foot of the table. The setting is primed for a tactical battle, as both clubs seek much-needed momentum in the new year.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Lazio’s defensive strength and Fiorentina’s struggles on the road, our top tips focus on the home side and potential for a low-scoring encounter. We’re particularly confident in Lazio to win, given their dominance in previous head-to-heads and a notable clean sheet record this season.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio to Win | 13/10 @ bet365 (43.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Backing because Lazio have won 10 of the last 18 H2Hs; Fiorentina just 1 away win in that run. |
| Both Teams To Score: No | 10/11 @ bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Value here due to Lazio’s 9 clean sheets in 18; Fiorentina rarely blank opponents. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Lazio have made a steady if unspectacular start, currently sitting 9th after 18 games. Their record stands at 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a positive goal difference (+4). Fiorentina, by contrast, have struggled for results, languishing 19th with only 2 wins from 18 – their main issue being defensive frailty, conceding 28 for a -10 goal difference.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 9 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 24 |
| Fiorentina | 19 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
Potential Match-Winners
Neither side boasts a player among Serie A’s leading marksmen this season, suggesting goals are spread across the squad. For Lazio, attackers like Pedro and Cancellieri could be key, with creativity coming from midfield. Defensively, Lazio’s tally of 9 clean sheets in 18 matches is standout – a mark of solid collective organisation rather than one star name.
Fiorentina’s best hopes may rest with attackers such as Roberto Piccoli and Moise Kean, but the side has struggled to find the net consistently. No individual has yet emerged as a regular match-winner, underlining the need for a collective improvement in the final third.
Head-to-Head: Last 8 Meetings
Lazio have had the better of recent encounters, winning 10 of the last 18 matches between these sides and suffering defeat just five times. At home, Lazio have won six out of their last nine against Fiorentina, while the visitors have managed only a single away win over that period.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 26/01/25 | Lazio 1-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 22/09/24 | Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio | Serie A |
| 26/02/24 | Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio | Serie A |
| 30/10/23 | Lazio 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 29/01/23 | Lazio 1-1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 10/10/22 | Fiorentina 0-4 Lazio | Serie A |
| 05/02/22 | Fiorentina 0-3 Lazio | Serie A |
| 27/10/21 | Lazio 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
Conclusion
Will Lazio’s defensive discipline and historical edge be enough to see off a struggling Fiorentina side? The stats point to a home win as the likeliest outcome, especially given Lazio’s clean sheet record and strong head-to-head history. For punters, 13/10 with bet365 on a Lazio victory stands out as the best value on offer.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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