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Squawka / News / Deportivo Alaves vs Real Oviedo: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Deportivo Alaves vs Real Oviedo: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Deportivo Alaves host Real Oviedo in a crucial La Liga showdown at Mendizorrotza, with kick-off set for 5:30 PM on Sunday.

The home side look to build on their stronger attacking form, while Oviedo arrive searching for answers at both ends of the pitch after a difficult campaign so far. This fixture marks a rare meeting between the two clubs at this level, adding extra intrigue as both sides fight to climb the table and steady their seasons.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on key attacking stats and recent defensive records, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in an Alaves win, given their far superior goal output and expected goals tally compared to Oviedo’s struggles in both boxes.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Alaves to Win5/6 @ Bet365
(54.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Backing because Alaves have double Oviedo’s goal tally and stronger xG. Home advantage adds the edge.
Both Teams to Score: No6/4 @ Bet365
(40.0%)
⭐⭐⭐Value here due to Oviedo’s scoring struggles: only 7 goals in 17 matches.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Alaves occupy 14th place, 7 points ahead of 19th-placed Oviedo. The hosts have won nearly a third of their games, while Oviedo have just two wins in 17, underlining their current struggles and the gap in momentum coming into this clash.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Deportivo Alaves14175391420-618
Real Oviedo19172510726-1911

Potential Match-Winners

Neither side boasts a top-three league scorer or assist provider, so this fixture could be decided by collective effort and key moments. For Alaves, attacking threat comes from Izei Hernandez (forward), who averages solid shot involvement and movement in the final third, while midfielder Kwasi Sibo for Oviedo is a creative hub, reflected in their higher pass accuracy (83.2%) and ability to retain possession under pressure. Both sides’ defences see high tackle counts (312 for Alaves, 288 for Oviedo), but Oviedo’s goalkeeper has been called into action far more often (83 saves), suggesting more work for their back line again here.

Head-to-Head: Last 2 Meetings

These sides have only met twice in the past few years, with both teams grabbing one win each.

DateScoreCompetition
13/01/23Oviedo 1-0 AlavesLa Liga 2
29/10/22Alaves 2-1 OviedoLa Liga 2

Conclusion

Will Alaves’ attacking output prove too much for an Oviedo side with the league’s joint-worst goal difference? With clear edges in goals scored, xG, and current form, the hosts are justified favourites and look well placed to take all three points. For those looking to bet, Alaves to win at 5/6 with Bet365 (54.5%) stands out as the top selection in this matchup.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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