Sunday’s clash at the Stadio Artemio Franchi sees Fiorentina desperate to arrest a worrying run of form as they welcome a Cremonese side quietly outperforming expectations.
Kick-off is set for 4 January 2026, and all eyes will be on whether Fiorentina can finally capitalise on their territorial dominance, or if Cremonese’s clinical edge and sturdy defence will once again stifle their hosts. Recent history favours Fiorentina, but current league positions and efficiency stats suggest a much tighter affair than the table might imply.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Fiorentina’s low conversion rate and Cremonese’s defensive efficiency, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Both Teams to Score due to both sides’ defensive frailties and attacking intent.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams struggle to keep clean sheets and have a combined 35 goals scored in 17 games each. |
| Draw | 5/2 @ Bet365 (28.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Fiorentina winless in 16/17, Cremonese tough to break down. Low-scoring, tight contest expected. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Fiorentina are rooted to the bottom of Serie A, with just one win from 17 matches, while Cremonese have established themselves as a disciplined mid-table side. The gulf in recent results is clear, but Cremonese’s matches remain tight, with a -2 goal difference and 21 points from 17 games.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | 12 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| Fiorentina | 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 9 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Edin Džeko (Fiorentina): Veteran forward, dangerous in the box, but needs better service to improve Fiorentina’s poor conversion rate (just 7.5% of shots result in goals).
- Antonio Sanabria (Cremonese): Brings direct pace and finishing – part of a frontline converting chances at a league-best rate compared to expected goals (18 scored from just 7.05 xG).
- Albert Guðmundsson (Fiorentina): Creative spark, likely to be involved in build-up; Fiorentina average 83.35% pass accuracy but lack cutting edge in the final third.
- Jamie Vardy (Cremonese): Still possesses a knack for big moments and could punish any lapses in Fiorentina’s leaky backline (28 conceded, league-worst).
Head-to-Head: Last 2 Meetings
Fiorentina have won both recent encounters, but both games were close. The most recent was a 2-0 away win, and at home they edged a five-goal thriller 3-2.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 12/03/23 | Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 14/08/22 | Fiorentina 3-2 Cremonese | Serie A |
Conclusion
Will Fiorentina finally make their dominance count, or will Cremoneses blend of defensive resilience and clinical finishing keep the hosts in the drop zone? With both sides showing vulnerabilities at the back and Fiorentinas struggles to convert shots into goals, our top tip is Both Teams to Score at 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4% implied). This looks a value play in what could be another nervy, tight contest.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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