Burnley face Newcastle United at Turf Moor in a contest that pits a side desperate for points against a team with a historical upper hand.
Kick-off is set for 7:30 PM on Tuesday, with Burnley fighting to climb off the foot of the table, while Newcastle look to build on their strong head-to-head form and maintain momentum in mid-table.
Newcastle’s recent dominance in this fixture – including a 2-1 win just three weeks ago – and Burnley’s leaky defence set the stage for a match where the visitors arrive as clear favourites. With both teams boasting influential attacking talents but contrasting defensive records, there’s plenty for punters to weigh up in this crucial Premier League encounter.
Best Bets & Predictions
Drawing on Newcastle’s superior xG, recent head-to-head success, and Burnley’s defensive vulnerabilities, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in the away win due to Newcastle’s consistent edge in both underlying numbers and results.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United to Win | 8/13 @ Bet365 (61.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Newcastle United hold a significant historical and recent advantage over Burnley, making them clear favourites. The Magpies have won the last seven consecutive Premier League meetings between the sides, including a 2-1 victory earlier in December 2025. Burnley are in dire form, winless in nine and sitting 19th in the table. In contrast, while Newcastle’s away form is poor, their overall quality, which sees them in 13th, should be enough to overcome a struggling Burnley side. |
| Nick Woltemade Anytime Scorer | 6/5 @ Bet365 (45.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Nick Woltemade, having already scored seven for Newcastle United this season, is in a prime position to add to his tally against a struggling Burnley side. Facing the league’s second-worst defence, which has conceded 35 goals, Woltemade’s confidence will be high. As he continues to adapt to the Premier League, his eye for goal will be a significant threat to a team completely out of form and winless in their last nine matches. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Burnley vs Newcastle match odds
How both teams head into Burnley vs Newcastle
Burnley’s return to the Premier League for the 2025/26 season has been exceptionally challenging, leaving them 19th in the table. Under the management of Scott Parker, the Clarets have managed to secure only 12 points from their opening 18 matches, with a dismal record of just three wins, three draws, and 12 losses.
A significant issue has been their porous defence, which has conceded 35 goals, making it one of the leakiest in the division. Their attack has also struggled, finding the net only 17 times. The team is currently mired in a dreadful run of form, having gone winless in their last nine league matches. Their top scorer so far is Zian Flemming, with a modest tally of five goals. The season has been a significant step back after their promotion, and they face a serious battle to avoid an immediate return to the Championship.
Newcastle United’s 2025/26 season has been one of inconsistency, seeing them sit in 13th place in the Premier League. Managed by Eddie Howe, the Magpies have gathered 23 points from their 18 league fixtures, with a record of six wins, five draws, and seven losses.
A significant talking point has been their contrasting home and away form. At St James’ Park, they have been formidable, securing five of their six wins. However, their performances on the road have been poor, contributing to their mid-table position. The team has scored 23 goals while conceding the same amount, highlighting a need for greater defensive solidity. Nick Woltemade leads their scoring charts with an impressive seven league goals. Despite their inconsistent league form, Newcastle have enjoyed a successful run in the EFL Cup, reaching the semi-finals where they are set to face Manchester City.
Burnley team news
Burnley are facing a significant player crisis ahead of their home game against Newcastle. They will be without Axel Tuanzebe, Hannibal, and Lyle Foster, who are all away on international duty at the Africa Cup of Nations. The injury list is also extensive, with Zeki Amdouni, Jordan Beyer, and Connor Roberts all ruled out with knee injuries. Furthermore, Maxime Estève is a major doubt for the match with a knock.
Newcastle team news
Manager Eddie Howe is contending with a significant injury list. Key players ruled out for the trip to Burnley include Dan Burn (chest), Sven Botman (back), and Tino Livramento (knee). On a more positive note for Newcastle, they have no players suspended for the match and no players away on international duty at the Africa Cup of Nations, which slightly eases their selection issues.
Season Form & Standings
Newcastle United hold a mid-table spot, while Burnley are entrenched in the relegation zone. Newcastle have outscored their hosts and boast a far superior defensive record, conceding 11 fewer goals. Burnley’s -15 goal difference and just three wins in 18 highlight their struggles at both ends.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 14 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
| Burnley | 19 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 12 |
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Newcastle United have dominated this fixture, winning 9 of the last 14 encounters. Burnley have picked up just two wins in this time, and have struggled to keep Newcastle’s attack at bay.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 | Newcastle United 2-1 Burnley | Premier League |
| 04/05/24 | Burnley 1-4 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 30/09/23 | Newcastle United 2-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| 22/05/22 | Burnley 1-2 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 04/12/21 | Newcastle United 1-0 Burnley | Premier League |
Conclusion: Final Thoughts
Will Newcastle United’s dominance over Burnley continue, or can the Clarets upset the form book at Turf Moor? With Newcastle’s attack firing and Burnley’s defensive frailties exposed in recent meetings, the value lies in backing the away side. Our standout pick is Newcastle to win at 8/13 with Bet365 (61.9%) as the best bet for this fixture.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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