Benin host Senegal in a pivotal group-stage clash, with both sides eager to assert themselves at this stage of the competition.
The match takes place at a crucial moment, with Benin looking to prove their defensive resilience can frustrate the tournament’s most efficient attack so far, while Senegal aim to convert clear superiority on paper into points on the pitch. Kick-off is set for Tuesday, and the stakes are high as both teams still have qualification on their minds but with contrasting styles and fortunes in front of goal.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the stark contrast in attacking output and efficiency, our top betting recommendation is a Senegal win. The visitors’ firepower, high shot accuracy, and ball retention give them a substantial edge over a Benin side struggling to create and convert. Here are our best value bets for this encounter:
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal to Win | 3/10 @ Bet365 (76.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Senegal average 2 goals per game, Benin just 0.5. Far superior attacking stats across the board. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1/1 @ Betfair (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams have conceded just once in two games. Benin lack end product, so expect a controlled scoreline. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
- Fantastic Promotions
- Fun Social Media Content
- New Bookmaker
#AD 18+ 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. GambleAware.org
- Bet £10 get £30
- Excellent Football Betting Options
- Extensive Bet-Builder
- Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker
New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration Required. This code is for marketing and tracking purposes only. #Ad.
Season Form & Standings
Both teams have conceded just once, but Senegal have been far more clinical in attack. Here’s how the group looks after two rounds:
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| DR Congo | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| Benin | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Botswana | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
Senegal’s +3 goal difference stands out, built on efficient finishing and control (66.1% possession, 88.94% pass accuracy). Benin’s stats suggest a side hard to break down but short on cutting edge.
Potential Match-Winners
Neither side features among the tournament’s top three goalscorers or assist providers so far, signalling a lack of standout individual attacking displays. For Benin, the attacking burden will fall on the likes of Steve Mounié and Jodel Dossou—both needing to improve on a combined 1 goal in two games. Senegal, meanwhile, can call on Sadio Mané and Ismaïla Sarr, who have contributed to a more dynamic attack, with the team producing 39 shots (59.3% accuracy) in two outings. Watch for Mané’s ability to stretch defences and Sarr’s direct running; both are due a headline moment.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Senegal definitely hold the advantage in recent contests, winning four of the last five meetings between these two nations.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 26/03/24 | Senegal 1-0 Benin | Friendly |
| 17/06/23 | Benin 1-1 Senegal | AFCON |
| 04/06/22 | Senegal 3-1 Benin | AFCON |
| 03/10/19 | Senegal 1-0 Benin | Cup of Nations |
| 10/07/19 | Senegal 1-0 Benin | AFCON |
Conclusion: Will Senegal’s Attack Prove Too Strong?
Senegal’s superior creativity, finishing, and game management make them firm favourites against a Benin team that has struggled for attacking output. The question is whether Benin’s defensive organisation can withstand the pressure or if Senegal’s relentless attack will inevitably break through. For those looking for a confident selection, Senegal to win at 3/10 @ Bet365 (76.9%) stands out as the best value on offer.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Read more:
- Latest football news
- Football betting tips
- Best betting sites
- Best free bet offers
- Football accumulator tips
