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Squawka / News / Chelsea vs Aston Villa: predictions, stats, tips, betting offers & odds

Chelsea vs Aston Villa: predictions, stats, tips, betting offers & odds

Chelsea welcome Aston Villa to Stamford Bridge in a Premier League clash that could have a significant bearing on the European places and the title race. The visitors sit third, six points ahead of Chelsea in fourth, and below you can find our best bets and match preview. 

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Aston Villa Double Chance1/1 @ SBK
(50.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Aston Villa have won their last seven league games, last having a longer run in the top-flight between October and December 1910 (9). The Villans have also won 12 of their 21 Premier League away games against London sides under Unai Emery (D4 L5), more than they had in their previous 59 (W11 D10 L38). Chelsea may have performed well in matches against teams above them this season, but with Villa winning their last ten across all competitions, we just cannot keep away from the even money that is available for the visitors to win or draw the match. 
Morgan Rogers to Score Anytime7/2 @ SBK
(22.2%)
⭐⭐⭐Aston Villa’s Morgan Rogers has been directly involved in more Premier League goals than any other English player across the opening 17 matchdays this season (10 – 7 goals, 3 assists.)The 23-year-old is making a real claim to being in Thomas Tuchel’s first XI next summer at the World Cup, and after two sensational goals against Manchester United, he can bag another goal here. 

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams go into Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Chelsea played out a thrilling 2-2 draw with Newcastle last weekend, in a game that featured no fewer than 10 yellow cards. The Blues have struggled for consistency in the last month, winning just two of their last seven across all competitions (W2 D3 L3). As a result, Maresca’s men are now ten points behind league leaders Arsenal as we approach the second half of the campaign.

Aston Villa have won each of their last 10 matches in all competitions and could equal their all-time club record of 11 consecutive victories, set in both September 1897 and March 1914. Unai Emery is working miracles at the club, and at Christmas, his side sits just three points behind league leaders Arsenal, and one behind Manchester City in second.

Chelsea team news

Romeo Lavia and Levi Colwill are both out injured. Liam Delap and Estevao will be assessed before kick-off.

Aston Villa team news

Ross Barkley, Tyrone Mings and Pau Torres all out. Harvey Elliott is a doubt.

Season Form & Standings

Chelsea and Aston Villa have both made strong starts to the 2025/26 campaign. Villa edge Chelsea in the table thanks to their consistency, but the Blues boast the joint-best goal difference among the top four.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Aston Villa31711332718+936
Chelsea4178542917+1229

2025/26 season to date

Head-to-Head

Chelsea have had the better of recent meetings, winning seven of the last 15 encounters, but Villa have shown they can upset the odds with four wins themselves. Draws are not uncommon either, with four stalemates in the same period. Here’s how the last five meetings have played out:

Last 5 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
22/02/25Aston Villa 2–1 ChelseaPremier League
01/12/24Chelsea 3–0 Aston VillaPremier League
27/04/24Aston Villa 2–2 ChelseaPremier League
07/02/24Aston Villa 1–3 ChelseaFA Cup
26/01/24Chelsea 0–0 Aston VillaFA Cup

Conclusion

This game looks potentially tricky to predict, but bookmakers may be seriously underestimating Aston Villa, with Chelsea priced as odds-on favourites to win. Instead, take the Double Chance for Villa to win or draw at a generous even money with SBK.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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