Liverpool welcome Wolverhampton Wanderers to Anfield on 27 December in a clash that pits a top-five side against the Premier League’s bottom club.
The 3:00 PM kick-off offers a classic tale of dominance versus desperation: Liverpool boast a commanding record in this fixture and have been free-scoring at home, while Wolves continue to struggle for points, goals, and defensive solidity. With recent head-to-head meetings overwhelmingly favouring the Reds, all eyes are on whether Wolves can defy the odds and spring a festive upset.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Liverpool’s attacking supremacy, Wolves’ struggles in both boxes, and the lopsided head-to-head record, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Liverpool to win by a comfortable margin, given their statistical superiority across every department and Wolves’ dire form.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Margin – Liverpool By Exactly 2 Goals | 10/3 @ SBK (23.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Liverpool’s high-pressing style (second-best pressure regain rate) is perfectly suited to exploit Wolves’ league-high six errors leading to a goal. Wolves are in crisis, sitting bottom after 17 matches without a win, including a recent 2-0 loss to Brentford. Liverpool’s superior quality and attacking threat, led by Hugo Ekitike, combined with Wolves’ defensive fragility and tendency to concede multiple goals, strongly suggests a comfortable two-goal victory for the Reds at Anfield. |
| Hugo Ekitike to score 2+ goals | 7/2 @ SBK (22.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Hugo Ekitike is primed for a brace against the league’s most vulnerable defence. The Liverpool forward has already scored eight goals this season, including a recent two-goal haul against Brighton. Wolves are in crisis, sitting bottom and having conceded from five defensive errors—the highest proportion in the league. Given Wolves’ defensive fragility and Ekitike’s proven ability to capitalise on mistakes and score in multiples, the data strongly supports him netting two or more goals at Anfield. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
Liverpool vs Wolves match odds
How both teams head into Liverpool vs Wolves
Liverpool’s 2025/26 season has been a rollercoaster, with the defending champions struggling to maintain consistency. As of 22 December, the Reds sit in 5th place with 29 points from 17 matches (W8 D5 L4). Their goal difference is a modest +10, having scored 30 goals (1.76 per game) and conceded 20 (1.18 per game). Early season form was poor, with one report noting they had only 18 points after 12 games, a shocking start for the club.
However, recent results suggest a turnaround. The team has secured three consecutive victories, including a dramatic 2-1 win away at Tottenham on 20 December, thanks to goals from Alexander Isak and Hugo Ekitike. This victory, following a 2-0 win over Brighton, indicates a return to form. Despite the early struggles, the team’s high-pressing style (second-best pressure regain rate) and recent winning streak suggest they are now firmly back in the race for a Champions League spot.
Wolverhampton Wanderers’ 2025/26 season has been nothing short of a disaster, with the club firmly rooted to the bottom of the Premier League table. As of 22 December, Wolves sit in 20th place with a paltry 2 points from 17 matches (W0 D2 L15), equalling the lowest points tally at Christmas in Premier League history. Their goal difference is a catastrophic -28, having scored only 15 goals (0.88 per game) while conceding a staggering 43 (2.53 per game).
The team is currently on a 10-match losing streak and remains winless after 17 games. Their latest result was a demoralising 2-0 loss at home to Brentford on 20 December. Furthermore, their defence is plagued by errors, having committed the league’s highest number of errors leading to a goal. This record-breaking poor form has already led to speculation that they could become the worst team in Premier League history.
Liverpool team news
Liverpool face a growing injury crisis with Alexander Isak suffering a suspected broken leg against Tottenham. He joins Joe Gomez, Wataru Endo, and Cody Gakpo on the sidelines. Crucially, star forward Mohamed Salah has already departed to join the Egypt squad for the AFCON 2025 tournament, leaving a significant void in the attack for the Wolves fixture.
Wolves team news
Wolves’ squad is significantly depleted by the AFCON 2025 tournament, with key players like Emmanuel Agbadou and Tawanda Chirewa already departed. While the injury list is not extensive, the loss of multiple players to international duty creates a squad crisis. There are no new suspensions, but the thin squad depth will be a major concern for the Liverpool fixture.
Season Form & Standings
Liverpool have bounced back into the top five, powered by a prolific attack and a strong home record. Wolves, meanwhile, sit rock bottom, still searching for their first league win after 17 matches and struggling at both ends of the pitch.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 5 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 25 | +3 | 29 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 20 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 37 | -28 | 2 |
Head-to-head: Last 5 Meetings
Liverpool have dominated this fixture, winning 14 of the last 18 meetings with Wolves, including four of the last five. Anfield has been especially unkind to the visitors, who have rarely left with points.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 16/02/25 | Liverpool 2-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| 28/09/24 | Wolves 1-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 19/05/24 | Liverpool 2-0 Wolves | Premier League |
| 16/09/23 | Wolves 1-3 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 01/03/23 | Liverpool 2-0 Wolves | Premier League |
Conclusion
Will Liverpool’s relentless attack overwhelm a Wolves side rooted to the foot of the table? The numbers all point one way: Liverpool’s shot volume, chance creation and home advantage should be too much for the visitors, who have yet to keep a clean sheet or win this season. Expect Liverpool to win comfortably with the Reds to win by exactly two goals at 10/3 (SBK, 23.1%) price and keep the pressure on at the top. Can Wolves defy a daunting record and pull off a shock, or will the Reds cruise to another three points?
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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