Real Madrid travel to Mendizorroza to take on Deportivo Alavés in a fixture that has been one-way traffic in recent seasons.
Sundays clash (kick-off 8:00 PM) finds Madrid flying high near the top of the table, while Alavés face a stern test against a side they’ve rarely troubled. With the visitors boasting a formidable attack and a sterling head-to-head record, Alavés will need to dig deep to change the script in front of their home crowd.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Real Madrid’s prolific attack and overwhelming head-to-head dominance, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in a Madrid win, given their scoring record and Alavés’ issues in front of goal.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid to Win | 4/7 @ Bet365 (63.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Madrid have won 13 of last 15 vs Alavés and scored 38 goals in those games. |
| Alavés Under 1.5 Goals | 5/1 @ Betfair (16.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Alavés average just 0.87 goals per game and have failed to score in 3 of last 5 H2Hs. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Real Madrid have established themselves as title contenders, sitting second with 36 points from 16 matches (11W, 3D, 2L). Their 32 goals scored is the best in the league, and a +17 goal difference marks their attacking intent. Alavés, meanwhile, are mid-table (11th), collecting 18 points from 15 games, with a negative goal difference and scoring just 13 times.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 36 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 11 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid): 16 goals, 4 assists, 42.5% shot accuracy, 89.1% pass accuracy. He’s averaging a goal every 90 minutes and is central to nearly half of Madrid’s goals.
- Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid): While not topping the stats, his pace and creativity make him a threat on the counter and in one-on-one situations.
- Lucas Boye (Alavés): Alavés’ best hope in attack, but the collective output (13 goals in 15 games) suggests he’ll need more support.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Real Madrid have dominated this fixture, winning 13 of the last 15 meetings and outscoring Alavés 38 to 9 in that span. The last five encounters have all gone Madrid’s way, including a 5-0 rout and two clean sheets for the capital club.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 13/04/25 | Alavés 0-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 24/09/24 | Real Madrid 3-2 Alavés | La Liga |
| 14/05/24 | Real Madrid 5-0 Alavés | La Liga |
| 21/12/23 | Alavés 0-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 19/02/22 | Real Madrid 3-0 Alavés | La Liga |
Conclusion
With Real Madrid’s attack in rampant form and their dominance over Alavés showing no signs of fading, the data points strongly towards another win for the visitors. Will Alavés find a way to breach Madrid’s defence and spring a surprise, or will Kylian Mbappé and co. continue their charge at the summit? Our money is on Madrid at 4/7 with Bet365 (63.6%)—the stats and recent history simply can’t be ignored.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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