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Squawka / News / Pisa vs Parma: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Pisa vs Parma: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Pisa host Parma at the Arena Garibaldi this weekend in a clash that sees both sides searching for a spark to ignite their Serie A campaigns.

With only one point separating them and both languishing near the foot of the table, this contest carries real significance. After a home defeat to Internazionale last time out, Pisa will be especially eager to respond, while Parma look to edge further clear of danger in a fixture where neither side has enjoyed head-to-head dominance in recent years. Kick-off is set for Monday, with coverage available via streaming platforms.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on both teams’ difficulties in attack and tendency for tight games, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in the Draw due to the sides’ low win rates and high share of draws so far this season.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Draw2/1 @ Bet365
(33.3%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Both teams have drawn over half their games. Margins are extremely fine.
Under 2.5 Goals4/7 @ Bet365
(63.6%)
⭐⭐⭐Both sides struggle to create quality chances; 19 goals in 13 games for Parma.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

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Season Form & Standings

Both teams have found wins hard to come by – Pisa have just one victory in thirteen (8% win rate), while Parma have two (15%). Draws have dominated their campaigns so far, with Pisa posting seven and Parma five. Defensively, neither side has been particularly robust, conceding 18 and 17 goals respectively, but clean sheets (four for Pisa, three for Parma) point to occasional solidity.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Parma1713256917-811
Pisa18131751018-810

Potential Match-Winners

Neither Pisa nor Parma boasts a player among the Serie A leaders for goals or assists this season, underlining their collective struggles in attack. For Pisa, M’Bala Nzola and Mattéo Tramoni will be relied upon to make the difference up front, with both featuring regularly as attackers. On Parma’s side, Patrick Cutrone and Adrian Benedyczak are likely to be central to any attacking threat, though their conversion rates have been modest.

  • Mattéo Tramoni (Pisa): A key forward presence; look for him to test the Parma keeper, especially given Pisa’s 127 shots this term.
  • Patrick Cutrone (Parma): Brings work rate and movement, helping Parma lead the shot accuracy stats (34.9%).
  • M’Bala Nzola (Pisa): Physicality and aerial ability could trouble Parma’s back line.
  • Adrian Benedyczak (Parma): An attacking outlet with potential to capitalise on set-piece opportunities.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

There is no recent top flight head-to-head data between Pisa and Parma across available seasons, so this fixture will set a fresh benchmark for both sides.

DateScoreCompetition
No recent meetings

Conclusion

Will Pisa finally capitalise on home advantage, or can Parma’s greater shot accuracy tip the scales in their favour? With both teams struggling for wins and goals, the draw looks a strong contender at 2/1 with bet365 (33.3% implied chance). Tight margins and low attacking returns make this a match likely decided by a single moment – and for punters, that means value in the stalemate or under goals markets.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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