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Squawka / News / Elche vs Girona: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Elche vs Girona: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Elche welcome Girona to the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, with kick-off set for Sunday afternoon.

This clash brings together two sides both seeking a reversal in fortunes, but with Girona having won both previous meetings between the clubs, the hosts will be determined to set the record straight. The match carries added intrigue as Elche look to build on a more solid defensive record, while Girona aim to turn recent improvements into points.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Elche’s stronger defensive numbers and Girona’s recent uptick in resilience, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Elche to win, given their superior ball retention and Girona’s defensive struggles.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Elche to Win11/10 @ Bet365
(47.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Backing because Elche have conceded 9 fewer goals and boast better home form.
Both Teams To Score – Yes4/6 @ Bet365
(60.0%)
⭐⭐⭐Value here due to Girona’s high shot accuracy and Elche’s attacking intent.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Elche sit mid-table while Girona are locked in a relegation scrap. Elche’s ability to avoid defeat (7 draws) has kept them clear of immediate danger, whilst Girona’s leaky defence has left them vulnerable.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Elche11143741517-216
Girona18142661326-1312

Potential Match-Winners

Neither side boasts a league-leading scorer or creator, but several players could step up. For Elche, Rafael Mir offers a physical threat up front, while Germán Valera and Grady Diangana provide energy and dribbling from wide positions. Girona’s Viktor Tsygankov and Abel Ruiz are the likeliest to test Elche’s defence, especially with Tsygankov’s movement and Ruiz’s aerial ability. Both teams have distributed their attacking output, so look for set-piece or opportunistic finishing to settle the contest.

Head-to-Head: Last 2 Meetings

Girona have won both previous clashes between these sides, outscoring Elche 4-1 across those fixtures.

DateScoreCompetition
16/04/23Girona 2-0 ElchePrimera División
08/11/22Elche 1-2 GironaPrimera División

Conclusion

Elche’s superior defensive organisation and ball retention make them favourites to claim the points, but Girona’s improved shot accuracy and recent draw against Real Madrid hint at an upset. Will Elche finally break their head-to-head duck, or can Girona’s sharp finishing turn the tables again? For punters, Elche to win at 11/10 with Bet365 (47.6%) stands out as the best value given the underlying numbers and league positions.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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