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Squawka / News / Deportivo Alavés vs Real Sociedad: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Deportivo Alavés vs Real Sociedad: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Deportivo Alavés welcome Real Sociedad to Mendizorrotza for a high-stakes Basque clash on Saturday afternoon.

Both teams are locked in mid-table but come into this fixture with contrasting strengths: Alavés have a marginally tighter defence, while Real Sociedad boast greater attacking creativity. With kick-off set for 3:15 PM, recent head-to-head results and season-long trends suggest a contest that could go either way, making this one of the weekend’s most intriguing betting prospects.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on season performance and the recent head-to-head record, here are our top betting recommendations. We’re particularly confident in the Draw at 2/1 @ Bet365 (33.3%) due to both sides’ even records and a notable frequency of stalemates in this fixture.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Draw2/1 @ Bet365
(33.3%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Three draws in last 15 H2Hs, both sides level in form and points.
1-1 Correct Score9/2 @ Bet365
(18.2%)
⭐⭐⭐Hit in 2 of last 6 H2Hs; both sides average just over 1 goal conceded per match.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Both Deportivo Alavés and Real Sociedad have had mixed campaigns. Alavés sit 14th with 15 points from 14 matches, while Sociedad are one place above in 10th with 16 points, but both have won just four games each and share a win percentage of 29%.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Real Sociedad10144461921-216
Deportivo Alavés14144371215-315

Alavés have netted just 12 goals (0.86 per game), while Sociedad have scored 19 but also conceded more (21). Both are looking to climb the table and inject consistency into their campaigns.

Potential Match-Winners

  • Takefusa Kubo (Real Sociedad): Dynamic attacker, part of a unit that has created 28 big chances this season. Likely to be central to Sociedad’s chances.
  • Lucas Boyé (Alavés): Most consistent attacking threat for Alavés; responsible for leading the line in a team that struggles for goals.
  • Brais Mendez (Real Sociedad): A creative hub with the ability to unlock defences and convert chances—Sociedad’s top source of goals from midfield (team has 8 goals from midfielders overall).
  • Denis Suárez (Alavés): 100% shot accuracy (albeit from just four attempts)—a sign he can be clinical if given opportunities.

Head-to-head: Last 6 Meetings

Recent meetings have been closely contested, with neither side dominating outright. Sociedad have edged the last 15 encounters (7 wins to 5), but draws remain a recurring theme. Here are the six most recent results:

DateScoreCompetition
23/04/25Alavés 1-0 Real SociedadLa Liga
28/08/24Real Sociedad 1-2 AlavésLa Liga
31/03/24Alavés 0-1 Real SociedadLa Liga
02/01/24Real Sociedad 1-1 AlavésLa Liga
13/03/22Real Sociedad 1-0 AlavésLa Liga
02/01/22Alavés 1-1 Real SociedadLa Liga

Conclusion: Who Comes Out on Top?

Will Real Sociedad’s attacking flair trump Alavés’ more disciplined defensive unit? The data points to a close contest, with little separating the teams in terms of points and recent form. Given the recent run of low-scoring, tightly-fought encounters, the Draw at 2/1 with Bet365 (33.3%) stands out as the best value—and offers a pragmatic betting angle for a game where margins are likely to be slim.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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