Mallorca host Osasuna in a clash that feels like a six-pointer, with both sides hovering just above the drop zone and struggling to find attacking fluency.
The Estadi Mallorca Son Moix sets the stage for this LaLiga encounter on Saturday, 29th November, kicking off at 1:00 PM. With only a point separating the teams and their last meeting finishing all square, the stakes are clear: a rare win could transform a season that’s yet to ignite for either camp.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent trends and underlying numbers, our top betting recommendations focus on Mallorca’s home strength in this fixture and both teams’ blunt finishing this season. We’re particularly confident in a low-scoring outcome, given the sides’ combined total of just 23 goals from 26 matches and their frequent struggles to convert big chances.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We27re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca to Win | 29/20 @ Betfair (40.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Back Mallorca27s home edge 2d only one home loss to Osasuna in last five. Osasuna underperforming xG badly. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | 21/20 @ Bet365 (48.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides struggle for goals; Osasuna finished under their xG in 2024/25. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Both teams are in the bottom half, separated by just one point, with defences conceding more often than they’d like and attacks lacking bite. Mallorca have edged Osasuna for goals scored (13 vs 10), but both sides have just three wins from 13 games. Osasuna’s xG of 17.4 suggests they’ve been wasteful in front of goal, scoring seven fewer than expected. Mallorca’s goal difference is slightly worse, but Osasuna’s lower scoring rate leaves them just behind in the table. Recent form is patchy for both.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 16 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| Osasuna | 17 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
Potential Match-Winners
Muriqi the difference-maker?
Vedat Muriqi is Mallorca’s main threat, with 6 goals (3 headers) from 11 starts and a shot accuracy of 50%—the highest among likely starters. He’s scored nearly half Mallorca’s league goals and leads the squad in big chances scored (5). If there’s a breakthrough, expect him to be involved.
Creative Engines
Johan Mojica (Mallorca) stands out as a creative full-back: 3 assists, 16 big chance assists, and a crossing accuracy that could test Osasuna’s backline. Jan Virgili Tenas adds 2 assists and a 60% shot accuracy from midfield, showing the ability to unlock defences.
For Osasuna, Ante Budimir carries the goal burden with 4 strikes and a high xG (5.11), but shot accuracy (33.3%) has let him down. Rubén García is their main provider, with 2 assists and 10 big chance assists, most coming from set pieces and wide areas.
Head-to-Head: Last 10 Meetings
The last ten encounters have been remarkably even, with five draws and both teams netting 13 times. Recent results suggest another close contest: the most recent meeting ended 1-1, and four of the last ten finished level.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 10/02/25 | Mallorca 1-1 Osasuna | LaLiga |
| 24/08/24 | Osasuna 1-0 Mallorca | LaLiga |
| 14/05/24 | Osasuna 1-1 Mallorca | LaLiga |
| 21/12/23 | Mallorca 3-2 Osasuna | LaLiga |
| 31/03/23 | Mallorca 0-0 Osasuna | LaLiga |
| 14/01/23 | Osasuna 1-0 Mallorca | LaLiga |
| 22/05/22 | Osasuna 0-2 Mallorca | LaLiga |
| 26/09/21 | Mallorca 2-3 Osasuna | LaLiga |
| 19/07/20 | Osasuna 2-2 Mallorca | LaLiga |
| 31/10/19 | Mallorca 2-2 Osasuna | LaLiga |
Conclusion
Will Mallorca make their home advantage count against an Osasuna side underperforming their attacking numbers? With both teams desperate to move clear of the relegation zone, expect a tense, hard-fought contest—margins have been razor-thin in recent meetings. Our most confident selection is Mallorca to win at 29/20 with Betfair (40.8% implied), but value seekers may look at the stalemate trend for a correct score play.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.