Brentford welcome Burnley to the Gtech Community Stadium on Saturday, 29 November, in a clash that could shape the trajectory of the lower half of the Premier League table.
Both sides have endured inconsistent starts, but it’s Brentford who hold the slight upper hand in both recent form and attacking output. With only six points separating them and Burnley sitting in the relegation zone, the hosts will be eyeing this fixture as a prime chance to pull clear of trouble, while Burnley desperately need to stop the rot after shipping too many goals in recent matches.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Brentford’s clinical edge and Burnley’s defensive shakiness, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a Brentford home win, given their superior goal threat and Burnley’s struggles at the back.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford to Win | 8/13 @ Bet365 (61.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Brentford are in a strong position to secure a victory against Burnley this weekend, primarily due to their formidable home form. The Bees have been excellent at their Gtech Community Stadium, winning four, drawing one, and losing only one of their six home Premier League matches this season. In contrast, Burnley have struggled on their travels, losing five of their six away games. Burnley’s defensive frailties are also a major concern, having lost their last three league matches. |
| Igor Thiago to Score Anytime | 13/10 @ SkyBet (43.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Brentford’s Igor Thiago is in prime position to score against Burnley this weekend. The Brazilian striker is in prolific form, having scored nine goals in 12 Premier League appearances this season. This equates to a goal every 113 minutes. Burnley’s defence, meanwhile, has been porous away from home, conceding frequently on their travels. Thiago’s impressive 60.71% shooting accuracy suggests he will test a Burnley defence that has struggled to adapt to the Premier League’s demands. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Brentford vs Burnley match odds
How both teams head into Brentford vs Burnley
Brentford have been plagued with inconsistency, winning five but losing six of their Premier League matches, so far. This has proven to be the case in recent weeks too, with the Bees winning three (vs West Ham, Liverpool and Newcastle) but losing to both Crystal Palace and Brighton. Brentford haven’t struggled with scoring goals, netting 18 in 12 Premier League games but have conceded 19 times, highlighting their defensive struggles.
Burnley have found their return to the Premier League a tough one, pushing teams to the limit but being unable to get across the finish line. That’s led to eight losses in their first 12 games and the Clarets sit in 19th position, although the relegation battle is a close one. It’s been their away form that has blighted them most, with five losses in their six games away from Turf Moor, and their solitary win on the road coming against the only team below them in the table; Wolves.
Brentford team news
Fabio Carvalho will miss the remainder of the Premier League season after tearing his ACL and it’s the same story for Antoni Milambo, who has suffered the same injury. The third player with an ACL injury is Joshua Dasilva, although he’s much further along in his return and should be able to line up for the Bees early in the new year.
Burnley team news
Zeki Amdouni is a long term absentee and isn’t scheduled to feature for Burnley before April. Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer aren’t likely to be in contention until the new year but the rest of the Burnley squad should be available to Scott Parker this weekend.
Season Form & Standings
Brentford currently sit 13th with 16 points from 12 matches (W5 D1 L6), scoring 18 and conceding 19—showing both attacking threat and defensive vulnerability. Burnley, meanwhile, are in 19th on 10 points, with a record of W3 D1 L8 and a concerning goal difference of -10. Both teams have only managed two clean sheets apiece, underlining their defensive frailties.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 13 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| Burnley | 19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 10 |
Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings
In the last four Premier League meetings, it’s all square—two wins apiece, with no draws. Recent history points to competitive contests and goals on both sides.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 16/03/24 | Burnley 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| 21/10/23 | Brentford 3-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| 12/03/22 | Brentford 2-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| 30/10/21 | Burnley 3-1 Brentford | Premier League |
Conclusion
Will Brentford’s superior finishing and home advantage be enough to overcome Burnley’s hunger for points? With Igor Thiago in red-hot form and Burnley’s defensive record under scrutiny, the smart money is on Brentford to deliver. Our top pick: Brentford to win at 8/13 with Bet365 (61.9%).
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.