The North London derby returns to the Emirates Stadium as league leaders Arsenal host rivals Tottenham Hotspur, bringing both form and fierce history to the fore.
The Gunners have dominated recent meetings and boast the division’s meanest defence, while Spurs arrive with attacking intent but a worrying tendency to concede. With kick-off at Arsenal’s home ground, the stakes are as high as ever in a fixture that rarely disappoints.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Arsenal’s defensive solidity, Tottenham’s high card count, and a history of goals in this rivalry, here are our top betting recommendations. We’re particularly confident in an Arsenal win thanks to their unbeaten home streak against Spurs and the best defensive record in the league.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal to Win | 2/5 @ Bet365 (71.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Data points to an Arsenal victory over Tottenham. Arsenal currently sit 1st in the Premier League, having won 73% of their matches, while Tottenham is in 5th. The Gunners are in formidable form, winning four of their last five league games. In contrast, Tottenham’s form is average, with two losses and a draw in their last four games. Historically, Arsenal also holds the advantage, winning 30 of the 70 games played since 1995, compared to Tottenham’s 16. |
| Tottenham Over 2.5 Cards | 4/6 @ Betway (60.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Tottenham averaging 2.36 yellow cards per match this season combined with a high foul rate (11.55 fouls per game) suggests they’ll be vulnerable to multiple cautions. The North London Derby is notoriously fiery; the last five league meetings have produced an average of 5.2 cards per game. Given Tottenham’s aggressive style under Thomas Frank, which has seen them receive 3 or more cards in 7 of their 11 matches, another high card count is probable. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Arsenal vs Tottenham match odds
How both teams head into Arsenal vs Tottenham
Arsenal enter this game top of the league by four points and eight points ahead of Tottenham. Despite a disappointing 2-2 draw with Sunderland last time out, Arsenal are still the team to beat in the Premier League this season, particularly at home where the Gunners have taken 13 points from a possible 15, with a draw against Man City being their only dropped points at the Emirates this season. Arsenal have averaged 1.81 goals per game this season and have conceded just five times, an average of 0.45 goals per game, highlighting their dominance at both ends of the pitch.
Things haven’t been quite as rosy at Tottenham in recent weeks, with Spurs losing two and drawing one of their last four. They remain in fifth position but the gap between them and 13th is only three points. Spurs have almost matched Arsenal for goals scored, with just one less than their rivals but they’ve conceded double the amount of goals as the Gunners, with their defensive issues being the main problem in their poor run of form. They’ve conceded six in their last five having only conceded four in the first six games of the season.
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Arsenal team news
Gabriel has joined Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz and Martin Odegaard on the injury list in a major blow for Arsenal’s defensive strength. There is better news for Viktor Gyokeres, Riccardo Calafiori, Gabriel Martinelli and Noni Madueke, though and all four could play some part this weekend.
Tottenham team news
James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski are the two players that definitely won’t feature for Tottenham this weekend, while there are a host of other players that are doubtful. Pape Sarr, Dominic Solanke, Ben Davies, Radu Dragusin, Yves Bissouma, Archie Gray, Lucas Bergvall, Mohammed Kudus and Cristian Romero all have question marks over their availability and things are unclear over Randal Kolo Muani’s fitness
Season Form & Standings
Arsenal lead the league after 11 matches, winning 73% of their games and conceding just five goals. Tottenham sit 5th, with a 45% win rate and nearly double the goals conceded of their rivals. Arsenal have averaged nearly 2 goals per match, while Spurs remain a threat but are more open defensively.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 26 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 18 |
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Arsenal hold the upper hand in recent derbies, with five wins from the last six. Spurs have found the net in four of those games, but away wins in this fixture are rare.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 15/01/25 | Arsenal 2-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
| 15/09/24 | Tottenham 0-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| 28/04/24 | Tottenham 2-3 Arsenal | Premier League |
| 24/09/23 | Arsenal 2-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| 15/01/23 | Tottenham 0-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
| 01/10/22 | Arsenal 3-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
Conclusion
Arsenal’s blend of defensive strength and creative firepower makes them firm favourites, especially at home, but Tottenham’s open style and set-piece danger mean this derby will be fiercely contested. Will Arsenal’s impressive record and form see them extend their lead at the top? Our money is on the Gunners to win at 2/5 with Bet365 (71.4%).
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.