RB Leipzig welcome Werder Bremen to the Red Bull Arena this Sunday afternoon, with the hosts enjoying a strong start to their Bundesliga campaign.
Leipzig have built a formidable record in this fixture, having lost just two of their last 15 encounters with Bremen. With kick-off at 14:30 on 23 November, the stakes are high for both sides: Leipzig are aiming to keep pace at the top, while Bremen look to turn around inconsistent form against a side they’ve rarely bested in recent years.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Leipzig’s attacking productivity, Bremen’s defensive issues, and the clear head-to-head dominance, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a home win, given Leipzig’s historical superiority and their ability to create chances in volume.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig to Win | 9/20 @ Bet365 (69.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Leipzig have won 9 of the last 15 vs Bremen. Superior xG and more clean sheets. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | See Bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Backed by Leipzig’s high chance creation and Bremen’s defensive vulnerability (18 conceded). |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Leipzig have the upper hand both in attack and defence, sitting second in the table with a +7 goal difference, while Bremen hover mid-table with a negative goal difference. Here’s how both teams stand:
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 2 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 22 |
| Werder Bremen | 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
Potential Match-Winners
Neither side boasts a top-three Bundesliga scorer, so expect goals and chances to be shared. For Leipzig, watch out for Antonio Nusa and Yan Diomande—both attackers with pace and a knack for finding space in the box. Leipzig have netted 17 of their 20 goals inside the area, underlining their threat in central attacking zones. On the Bremen side, Victor Boniface and Justin Njinmah are likely to be involved—Bremen’s attack has managed 15 goals, with 13 coming from inside the box, and they actually post a higher shot accuracy (41.6%) than Leipzig (35.9%).
Discipline could also play a part: Bremen have collected 25 yellows and a red in 10 matches, compared to Leipzig’s 16 yellows and no reds, suggesting potential for bookings markets if line-ups favour combative midfielders.
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Head-to-Head: Last 6 meetings
This fixture has heavily favoured Leipzig in recent years, who have won 9 of the last 15 meetings. Bremen’s last win came back in the 2018/19 season. Here are the six most recent results:
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 10/05/25 | Werder Bremen 0-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 12/01/25 | RB Leipzig 4-2 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 11/05/24 | RB Leipzig 1-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 19/12/23 | Werder Bremen 1-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 14/05/23 | RB Leipzig 2-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 12/11/22 | Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
Conclusion
Given Leipzig’s head-to-head dominance and their ability to create big chances (24 so far, albeit with a high miss rate), the home side look well placed to extend their impressive run against Bremen. However, Bremen’s higher shot accuracy and tendency to keep games alive mean a both teams to score angle shouldn’t be ruled out. Will Leipzig’s attacking muscle prove decisive again, or can Bremen spring a surprise? Our money is on Leipzig to maintain their edge at 9/20 (69.0%).
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.