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Squawka / News / Deportivo Alaves vs Celta de Vigo: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Deportivo Alaves vs Celta de Vigo: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Deportivo Alaves and Celta de Vigo meet at the Mendizorrotza on Saturday afternoon in what promises to be a closely contested mid-table La Liga clash.

The 1:00 PM kick-off brings together two sides with sharply contrasting strengths: Alaves have built their campaign on defensive solidity, while Celta’s attacking flair has often been undermined by a leaky back line. With both teams separated by just two points in the standings, this fixture could go a long way in shaping their fortunes for the rest of the season.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on recent trends and underlying numbers, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in “Both Teams to Score: Yes” due to both sides’ blend of attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities—Celta especially have yet to keep a clean sheet this season.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams to Score: Yes19/20 @ Bet365
(51.3%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Celta have conceded in every match; both teams average over 1 goal per game.
Draw21/10 @ Bet365
(32.3%)
⭐⭐⭐7 of Celta’s 12 games have ended level; H2H also shows balance.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Alaves have been the more consistent defensively, while Celta’s high draw count reflects their inability to see games out, despite a superior attack on paper.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Deportivo Alaves10124351111015
Celta de Vigo13122731518-313

Potential Match-Winners

  • Lucas Boyé (Alaves) – Brings physical presence and averages over 2 shots per 90, often the focal point in Alaves’ attack.
  • Iago Aspas (Celta de Vigo) – Renowned for creativity and finishing, leads Celta for key passes per game and is central to their chance creation.
  • Bryan Zaragoza (Celta de Vigo) – Direct runner, averages high touches in the box and draws fouls in dangerous areas.
  • Carlos Vicente (Alaves) – Offers pace on the flanks and is among Alaves’ leaders for successful dribbles and final third entries.

Head-to-Head: Last 7 Meetings

These sides have met regularly in recent seasons, with Celta de Vigo holding a slight historical edge—8 wins to Alaves’ 5 in their last 16 encounters. Recent meetings have been tight, with two draws in the last four.

DateScoreCompetition
27/01/25Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Celta de VigoLa Liga
16/08/24Celta de Vigo 2-1 Deportivo AlavésLa Liga
27/04/24Deportivo Alavés 3-0 Celta de VigoLa Liga
28/09/23Celta de Vigo 1-1 Deportivo AlavésLa Liga
07/05/22Celta de Vigo 4-0 Deportivo AlavésLa Liga
27/11/21Deportivo Alavés 1-2 Celta de VigoLa Liga
04/04/21Deportivo Alavés 1-3 Celta de VigoLa Liga

Conclusion

Will defensive resilience or attacking quality prevail? Alaves have been tough to break down, but their struggles converting chances could give Celta’s technical midfield and attack opportunities. Given Celta’s high goals for and against, the best value could lie with “Both Teams to Score” at 19/20 with Bet365 (51.3%).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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