Valencia host Levante at the Mestalla in a high-stakes derby this weekend, with both sides desperate to spark a turnaround in their seasons.
Kick-off is set for Friday at 8:00 PM, and while neither team has found much joy in recent weeks, this fixture brings added tension: Valencia have dominated the rivalry over the past decade, but both teams are currently hovering in the relegation zone. With only a point separating them and survival on the line, expect a fiercely contested clash.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the latest stats and head-to-head record, here are our top betting recommendations for Valencia vs Levante. We’re particularly confident in backing the draw, given both sides’ struggles for wins and their recent history of stalemates.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 5/2 @ Paddy Power (28.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Four of the last ten H2Hs ended level; both teams winless in last three games. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 10/11 @ SkyBet (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams average under 1.5 goals per game; recent derbies often tight. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Both teams are struggling, sitting in and around the relegation places. Valencia (17th) have only two wins from 12, while Levante (19th) are just a point behind and have the league’s second-worst defence by goals conceded.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 17 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 |
| Levante | 19 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 9 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Hugo Duro (Valencia): The leading line for Valencia, Duro’s movement has created multiple big chances, but his conversion rate is a concern (Valencia have missed 12 clear-cut chances this season).
- Goduine Koyalipou (Levante): Levante’s most dangerous forward, averaging over two shots per match and regularly testing the keeper.
- Lucas Beltran (Valencia): Often the creative spark, Beltran has contributed to Valencia’s 10 assists and could exploit Levante’s high defensive line.
- José Luis Morales (Levante): Brings experience and goal threat, key for Levante especially in tight games.
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Head-to-Head: Last 10 Meetings
Valencia have dominated recent derbies, winning five of the last ten meetings, with Levante claiming just one victory. Four encounters ended in draws, highlighting how tightly contested this fixture can be.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 30/04/22 | Valencia 1-1 Levante | La Liga |
| 20/12/21 | Levante 3-4 Valencia | La Liga |
| 12/03/21 | Levante 1-0 Valencia | La Liga |
| 13/09/20 | Valencia 4-2 Levante | La Liga |
| 12/06/20 | Valencia 1-1 Levante | La Liga |
| 07/12/19 | Levante 2-4 Valencia | La Liga |
| 14/04/19 | Valencia 3-1 Levante | La Liga |
| 02/09/18 | Levante 2-2 Valencia | La Liga |
| 11/02/18 | Valencia 3-1 Levante | La Liga |
| 16/09/17 | Levante 1-1 Valencia | La Liga |
Conclusion
With neither side in convincing form and a long history of close-fought derbies, this Valencia vs Levante clash looks primed for another cagey affair. Will the hosts’ head-to-head dominance prove decisive, or will Levante take advantage of Valencia’s defensive frailties? Our top pick remains the draw, available at 5/2 with Paddy Power, reflecting both recent trends and the high stakes involved.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.