Introduction
Spain and Turkey face off at the Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla on 18 November, in a UEFA World Cup Qualifier that pits Group A’s leaders against their closest challengers. Spain’s flawless run, featuring a 100% win rate and a remarkable defensive record, sets the stage for an intriguing clash, even if their far superior goal difference means any chance of a change in the table seems almost impossible at this stage. The reverse fixture saw Spain run out emphatic 6-0 winners, adding extra intrigue to this rematch with Turkey eager to respond.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent performance trends and head-to-head dominance, here are our top betting recommendations for this fixture. We’re particularly confident in a Spain win, given their immaculate defensive record and overwhelming superiority in both possession and shot creation.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain to Win | 2/9 @ Betfair | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Spain: 5/5 wins, 19:0 goal record, 6-0 in last H2H. |
| Both Teams To Score: No | 9/10 @ Betfair | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Spain: 0 goals conceded in 6 games, Turkey failed to score last H2H. |
| Correct Score: Spain 2-0 | 6/1 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Spain average 3.8 goals/game; defence may limit Turkey to nil. |
| Mikel Merino to Score Anytime | 33/20 with BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐ | Top scorer with 6 in 5, high involvement in Spain’s attack. |
Our approach: Start with Spain to win, add BTTS No for accumulator potential.
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 qualifying campaign to date
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | +19 | 15 |
| Turkey | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
Spain: WWWWW (last 5) | Turkey: WWWLW (last 5)
Potential Match-Winners
- Mikel Merino (Spain): 6 goals in 5 games, 4 big chances created, averages over 4 shots per match.
- Ferran Torres (Spain): Consistent attacking threat with pace and directness and scored in the win over Georgia at the weekend; watch for shots on target markets.
- Kerem Aktürkoglu (Turkey): Key wide player, capable of running at defenders and forcing set pieces (34 team corners so far).
- Aymeric Laporte (Spain): Anchor at the back, helping Spain to 5 clean sheets and 0 goals conceded.
Head-to-Head
Spain dominated the only recent meeting between these sides, running out 6-0 winners in Istanbul earlier in the campaign.
Last 1 Meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 | Turkey 0-6 Spain | UEFA World Cup Qualifiers |
Conclusion
Will Spain’s perfect defence hold firm against a Turkish side eager for revenge? With Spain’s record of 19 goals scored and none conceded, and their superiority in both xG and possession, the smart money is on the hosts. Backing Spain to win at 1/5 @ Betfair (83.3%) looks the best value, with correct score and BTTS: No markets offering further interest for accumulators.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.