Brentford host Newcastle United at the Brentford Community Stadium on Sunday 9 November, with kick-off set for 2:00pm in the capital. Heading into the weekend, the two teams reside 12th and 13th in the top-flight table, and below you can find our match preview and best bets.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Newcastle’s commanding head-to-head record and Brentford’s defensive frailties, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in Newcastle avoiding defeat, given they have lost just once in their last ten meetings with Brentford.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford to Win | 19/10 @ Betfair (34.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Newcastle are winless in their last eight away Premier League matches (D4 L4). Meanwhile, Brentford have won 11 of their last 17 home Premier League matches that haven’t come against fellow London teams (D2 L4), with five wins in their last six (L1). The Magpies were in Champions League action on Wednesday, and the extra days of preparation could really benefit Brentford here. |
| Dan Burn to commit 2+ fouls | 19/20 @ BetMGM (51.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Since making the switch to left-back from centre-back, there has been a drastic increase in the number of fouls that Dan Burn has been committing. Looking back at his recent totals, he has given away 2+ in all of his last six Premier League matches with figures of: 2,3,2,2,2,3,2. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Brentford struggled to handle Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park last weekend, losing 2-0 after Jean-Philippe Mateta scored and Nathan Collins added an own goal, marking their fifth league defeat of the season.
Before that, the Bees had won three in a row, including victories over West Ham, Liverpool, and EFL Cup winners Grimsby Town. Brentford tend to do better outside London, winning five of their last six Premier League home games against non-capital sides, but they have managed just one win in their last 10 London derbies at the Gtech Community Stadium.
Newcastle lost 3-1 to West Ham, with a performance that left Eddie Howe incredibly frustrated. The Magpies bounced back in Europe, though, with Dan Burn and Joelinton scoring headers to see off Athletic Bilbao on Wednesday, who were missing key attackers Nico Williams, Inaki Williams and Oihan Sancet.
Having matched their longest-ever Champions League winning streak with three straight victories, the 13th-placed Magpies now look to find some consistency in the Premier League, where they sit closer to the relegation zone than the top four.
Brentford team news
Newcastle, however, are dealing with more absences. Anthony Gordon is out with a hip problem, while Will Osula, Harrison Ashby, Tino Livramento and former Bee Wissa are also unavailable. Harvey Barnes is expected to move to the left, with Jacob Murphy returning on the right, aiming to score in three straight Premier League games for the first time.
Newcastle team news
Brentford have a largely unchanged squad for gameweek 11, with only Benjamin Arthur, Josh Dasilva and Antoni Milambo sidelined. Collins and Kevin Schade face a booking ban if cautioned on Sunday.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date. Brentford and Newcastle sit mid-table after ten matches, with only a point between them. Brentford’s attack has delivered 14 goals but at the expense of defensive stability, while Newcastle have conceded just 11, showing more resilience but less firepower.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| Newcastle United | 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Igor Thiago (Brentford): 6 goals in 10, 54.6% shot accuracy, 3.4 touches in the box per game. Brentford’s main goal threat and among the league’s top scorers.
- Anthony Gordon (Newcastle United): Newcastle’s creative spark, expected to deliver with his direct running and ability to exploit Brentford’s leaky defence.
- Nick Woltemade (Newcastle United): Aerial presence and off-the-ball movement could be a factor against Brentford’s set-piece vulnerabilities.
Head-to-Head: Last 10 Meetings
Newcastle have dominated this fixture, winning eight of the last ten clashes. Brentford’s sole victory came at home last December, but the overall goal tally (26-14 to Newcastle) highlights the visitors’ superiority.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 02/04/25 | Newcastle United 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| 07/12/24 | Brentford 4-2 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 18/12/24 | Newcastle United 3-1 Brentford | League Cup |
| 19/05/24 | Brentford 2-4 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 16/09/23 | Newcastle United 1-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| 08/04/23 | Brentford 1-2 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 08/10/22 | Newcastle United 5-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| 26/02/22 | Brentford 0-2 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 20/11/21 | Newcastle United 3-3 Brentford | Premier League |
| 14/01/17 | Brentford 1-2 Newcastle United | Championship |
Conclusion
Will Brentford finally shake off their Newcastle hoodoo, or will the Magpies’ dominance continue? With both sides showing attacking intent and Newcastle’s historical edge, this fixture looks primed for goals and drama. Our top pick is Newcastle United Draw No Bet at 7/5 @ Betfair (41.7%)—but expect action at both ends.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
