Derby County face Hull City at the iPro Stadium on Tuesday, 4 November, in a contest shaped by contrasting fortunes and a fiercely one-sided head-to-head record.
While Derby have historically dominated this fixture, Hull arrive in better league form and with a more balanced attack. With both teams coming off impressive away wins and crucial points up for grabs, this encounter promises intrigue for neutrals and punters alike.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent performances and statistical trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Both Teams to Score due to both sides’ attacking output and recent efficiency in front of goal.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Backed as both teams average 1+ goal/game; each scored freely last time out. |
| Hull City Draw No Bet | 6/5 @ Bet365 (45.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Hull are 10 places ahead in the table and more consistent on the road. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Hull City have found a strong rhythm, sitting 7th in the table and boasting a positive goal difference, while Derby County languish in 17th despite last week’s away win. Both sides have played 13 games, but Hull’s attacking output and points tally are notably stronger.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
| Derby County | 17 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Carlton Morris (Derby County): 8 goals in 13 games, averaging over 0.6 per match. An outlier for Derby, he’s scored 50% of their league goals and is the clear poacher to watch.
- Joseph Gelhardt (Hull City): Leads a Hull front line that has produced 22 goals and spread the scoring widely. While not among the league’s top three scorers, he is often involved in key chances.
- Patrick Agyemang (Derby County): Versatile forward whose movement creates space for Morris and others; a potential wild card for shots or assists markets.
- Joel Ndala (Hull City): Noted for his pace and direct running; can trouble Derby’s back line and draw fouls in dangerous areas.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Derby County have enjoyed overwhelming dominance in this fixture, winning 8 of the last 11 meetings and losing just once. Hull City have managed only two draws and a single win, with Derby often prevailing both home and away.
Last 5 Meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 26/04/25 | Hull City 0-1 Derby County | Championship |
| 26/10/24 | Derby County 1-1 Hull City | Championship |
| 08/02/22 | Derby County 3-1 Hull City | Championship |
| 18/08/21 | Hull City 0-1 Derby County | Championship |
| 18/01/20 | Derby County 1-0 Hull City | Championship |
Conclusion
Will Derby County’s historic dominance count for more than Hull City’s current form and attacking balance? Although Derby boast the upper hand in head-to-heads, Hull are the form side and look well equipped to challenge at the iPro Stadium. For punters, Both Teams to Score stands out as a high-value pick at 4/5 with Bet365, reflecting the recent attacking trends on both sides. Can Derby’s Carlton Morris deliver again, or will Hull’s collective firepower finally swing the narrative?
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.