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Squawka / News / Roma vs Parma: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Roma vs Parma: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Roma welcome Parma to the Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday evening, with the hosts looking to maintain their strong start to the season against a Parma side struggling for goals. Kick-off is set for 17:30, as Roma aim to extend their dominance in this fixture and keep pace near the top of the table. Recent head-to-head form and season stats suggest a clear edge for the home side, but with both teams lacking a standout goalscorer, the match could hinge on defensive resilience and set-piece opportunities.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Roma’s superior attacking numbers and Parma’s heavy defensive workload, our top betting recommendations focus on a home win and potential clean sheet. We’re particularly confident in backing Roma to win due to their consistent scoring and historic dominance over Parma in recent meetings.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Roma to Win8/13 @ Bet365
(61.9%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Roma have won 6 of their last 8 vs Parma; home side averaging 1 goal per game this season.
Under 2.5 Goals3/4 @ SkyBet
(57.1%)
⭐⭐⭐Only 11 goals in Roma’s 8 matches; Parma even more goal-shy.

Our approach: Start with Roma to win, add Win to Nil and Under 2.5 Goals for accumulator value.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

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Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date: Roma sit 3rd in Serie A after 8 matches, boasting 6 wins and a robust +5 goal difference. Parma, by contrast, are 15th, with just 1 win and the league’s lowest goal output. Both teams have drawn few games, but Roma’s ability to secure three points has been decisive.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Roma3860283+518
Parma15814337-47

Potential Match-Winners

No player from Roma or Parma features among Serie A’s leading scorers this season, underlining a collective approach from both squads. For Roma, Paulo Dybala and Stephan El Shaarawy are key creative outlets, while Artem Dovbyk offers a focal point up front. Parma will look to Patrick Cutrone and Matija Frigan to break their goal drought. Defensive reliability has been crucial for Roma, with Gianluca Mancini marshalling a backline that’s conceded just 3 goals in 8 games. On the Parma side, the goalkeeper has already made 26 saves (over 3 per match), reflecting both his workload and importance to the team.

Head-to-Head

Roma have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning 6 of the last 8 meetings with Parma, including a 5-0 home victory last season. Parma’s last success over Roma came in the 2020/21 campaign.

Last 8 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
16/02/25Parma 0-1 RomaSerie A
22/12/24Roma 5-0 ParmaSerie A
14/03/21Parma 2-0 RomaSerie A
22/11/20Roma 3-0 ParmaSerie A
08/07/20Roma 2-1 ParmaSerie A
10/11/19Parma 2-0 RomaSerie A
26/05/19Roma 2-1 ParmaSerie A
29/12/18Parma 0-2 RomaSerie A

Conclusion

Roma’s home strength and Parma’s lack of attacking punch suggest the hosts should take all three points, but with neither side boasting a prolific striker, a high-scoring affair looks unlikely. Will Roma’s collective firepower be enough to break down a busy Parma defence once again? For punters, the value lies in the home win and a low total goals line—our top pick is Roma to Win at 8/13 (61.9%) with Bet365.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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