Pressure is mounting on West Ham as they welcome Newcastle United to the London Stadium for a crucial Premier League clash on Sunday. The Hammers are in dire need of points, languishing near the bottom after a torrid run, while Newcastle arrive with a far superior defensive record and a history of recent dominance in this fixture. Kick-off is set for 2:00 pm, and you can find our match preview and best bets below
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Newcastle’s defensive solidity and West Ham’s ongoing struggles, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Newcastle to win, given their clear statistical advantage at both ends of the pitch and a strong head-to-head record in recent meetings.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United to Win | 13/20 @ Bet365 (60.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Defensive frailties have plagued West Ham this season, leaving them with the worst goals-against record in the Premier League, having conceded 20 times. They have also faced the second-highest number of shots (133) and hold the second-worst expected goals against total (15.2). This is the quickest they have let in 20 goals so early in a season since 1967-68, when they conceded 21 in eight games. Newcastle have yet to claim an away win this term, but this fixture presents an ideal chance to finally secure three points. |
| Bruno Guimaraes to be fouled 3+ times | 6/5 @ Paddy Power (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Bruno Guimaraes was the most fouled player in the league last season, racking up 37 more than any other player. The Brazilian has been fouled 3+ times in all of his last seven Premier League matches. His totals in that period read 3,3,5,3,5,3,3 and with this in mind we are surprised to see such generous odds of 6/5 on show for a repeat in East London. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing.
How both teams go into West Ham vs Newcastle
It has been a disappointing campaign so far for West Ham, who have just one win this season in the Premier League. That victory came against Nottingham Forest in August, who were then managed by Nuno Espirito Santo. Since then, Nuno has made the switch from the Black Country to the capital, with Graham Potter being relieved of his duties at West Ham. Last weekend, the Hammers were beaten 2-1 on the road at Leeds and will be desperate to try and improve their current league position of 19th.
Newcastle will also be rather underwhelmed by their season so far. The Magpies sit 12th in the standings with a record of three wins, three draws and three defeats. However, the past seven days have been positive for the Toon with a victory against Fulham last weekend, before a 2-0 win over Spurs in the EFL Cup on Wednesday.
West Ham team news
Niclas Fullkrug, Konstantinos Mavropanos and Oliver Scarles are all confirmed absentees for the hosts.
Newcastle team news
Lewis Hall is facing a late fitness test, while Yoane Wissa and Valentino Livramento are both on the treatment table.
Season Form & Standings
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| West Ham United | 19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 |
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Newcastle have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, winning 8 of the last 16 encounters, including both meetings last season. West Ham, meanwhile, have managed just four wins in that span and will be desperate to reverse the trend.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 10/03/25 | West Ham 0-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| 25/11/24 | Newcastle 0-2 West Ham | Premier League |
| 30/03/24 | Newcastle 4-3 West Ham | Premier League |
| 08/10/23 | West Ham 2-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
| 05/04/23 | West Ham 1-5 Newcastle | Premier League |
Conclusion
Will Newcastle’s defensive resilience and attacking edge prove too much for a struggling West Ham side? With the Magpies boasting five clean sheets and a strong recent record in this fixture, all signs point towards another three points for Eddie Howe’s men. Our top selection remains Newcastle to win at 13/20 @ Bet365 (60.6%)—an outcome that would deepen West Ham’s woes and offer value for punters seeking a confident pick.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
