Newcastle United and Tottenham Hotspur meet in the League Cup on Wednesday evening. The game kicks off at 8:00pm live on Sky Sports, and below you can find our match preview and best bets as both teams look to book their place in the quarter-finals.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Newcastle’s impressive attacking output and Tottenham’s mixed defensive record, our top betting recommendations focus on a home win and goals. We’re particularly confident in Newcastle United to win, given their superior xG, passing accuracy, and recent dominance in head-to-head fixtures.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United to Win | 687/1000 @ /SBK (59.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Backing because Newcastle have won 2 of the last 3 H2Hs and boast a higher xG and ball possession in the Premier League this season. Home advantage with the lively atmosphere should also work in their favour |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 3/4 @ SBK (57.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Value here due to 5+ goals in 3 of last 5 clashes and both teams’ attacking intent. |
Our approach: Start with Newcastle United to win, add Over 2.5 Goals for accumulator potential.
Odds correct at the time of writing.
Potential Match-Winners
- Nick Woltemade (Newcastle United): The German attacker is set to lead the line, and with Newcastle’s 76.9% average possession and 92.38% pass accuracy, he should see plenty of service in the box.
- Brennan Johnson (Tottenham Hotspur): Offers direct running and could be a threat on the counter, particularly if Newcastle push high up.
- Randal Kolo Muani (Tottenham Hotspur): His pace and off-the-ball movement can trouble a Newcastle defence that has yet to keep a clean sheet this season.
Head-to-Head
The last 16 meetings between Newcastle United and Tottenham Hotspur have been closely matched, with Spurs leading 8 wins to Newcastle’s 6, and 2 draws. Recent history, however, shows Newcastle holding the edge in momentum.
Last 5 Meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 04/01/25 | Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Newcastle United | League Cup |
| 01/09/24 | Newcastle United 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur | League Cup |
| 13/04/24 | Newcastle United 4-0 Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League |
| 10/12/23 | Tottenham Hotspur 4-1 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 23/04/23 | Newcastle United 6-1 Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League |
Conclusion
With Newcastle United showing superior attacking stats, ball possession, and recent head-to-head form, the Magpies have a strong case to claim all three points at St. James’ Park. However, Tottenham Hotspur’s ability to spring surprises means this clash could be closer than odds suggest. Will Newcastle’s dominance translate into another home win, or can Spurs upset the script? Our top pick: Newcastle United to win at 687/1000 @ Bet365 (59.3%).
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
