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Squawka / News / Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Bayer Leverkusen welcome Freiburg to the BayArena this weekend, with both teams looking to assert themselves in the Bundesliga. The hosts have shown more attacking punch so far this season, while Freiburg aim to disrupt Leverkusen’s rhythm in a fixture that has often produced drama. Kick-off is set for Sunday at 2:30pm in Leverkusen, and with both sides level defensively but differing in offensive firepower, this promises to be a key encounter in shaping their campaigns.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on the latest stats and recent form, here are our top betting recommendations for Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg. We’re particularly confident in a home win for Leverkusen, given their superior attack and historical edge at the BayArena.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Bayer Leverkusen to Win3/4 @ Bet365
(57.1%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Leverkusen score more (16 goals, 37.5% accuracy); strong home H2H record.
Both Teams To Score – Yes4/6 @ Bet365
(60.0%)
⭐⭐⭐Both sides average over 1.5 goals/game; last 3 meetings saw BTTS land.

Our approach: Start with Leverkusen to win, add BTTS for accumulator potential.

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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date: Bayer Leverkusen have made a more convincing start than Freiburg, with four wins from seven and a top-five position. Freiburg find themselves mid-table, with a balanced record but less attacking edge.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Bayer Leverkusen574211611+514
Freiburg107232111109

Potential Match-Winners

While neither side boasts a top-3 Bundesliga scorer so far, Leverkusen share their attacking output across several forwards, including Ibrahim Maza and Nathan Tella. Both have shown an ability to get into scoring positions; Leverkusen’s 16 goals from 93 shots (2.3 goals/game, 13.3 shots/game) reflects a clinical edge. Freiburg’s Eren Dinkçi has been a lively outlet but with a lower team shot accuracy (27.5%), they may need to be more clinical to trouble the hosts.

Head-to-Head

Leverkusen have enjoyed the better of recent encounters, winning eight of the last 18 meetings (Freiburg four, six draws), and averaging nearly two goals per game in this fixture. Their home form in this matchup is particularly solid, having won five of nine home ties since 2018.

Last 5 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
04/05/25Freiburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
21/12/24Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 FreiburgBundesliga
17/03/24Freiburg 2-3 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
29/10/23Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 FreiburgBundesliga
26/02/23Freiburg 1-1 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

Conclusion

Will Leverkusen’s superior attack see them claim another home win, or can Freiburg frustrate them as they have in previous draws? With Leverkusen posting more goals, shots, and assists per game, and a strong recent record in this fixture, all signs point towards backing the hosts. For those seeking value, the 3/4 with Bet365 (57.1%) on a home win stands out as the best bet for this Bundesliga clash.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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