RB Leipzig travel to Augsburg this weekend for a Bundesliga encounter that pits a side with top-four ambitions against one looking to escape the lower reaches of the table. Kick-off at the WWK Arena is set for Saturday at 2:30pm, with Augsburg aiming to upset a Leipzig side that has historically dominated this fixture. Leipzig have won nine of the last 17 meetings, while Augsburg have managed just a single victory—raising the stakes for the hosts as they seek to buck the trend.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form, historical head-to-head dominance, and underlying stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in backing RB Leipzig to win given their defensive solidity and Augsburg’s struggles at the back.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig to Win | 21/20 @ Betfair (48.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Leipzig have won 9 of last 17 H2Hs, superior xG and better defence. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 4/9 @ Bet365 (69.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Augsburg’s matches averaging 3.7 goals, Leipzig create high xG. |
Our approach: Start with RB Leipzig to win, add Both Teams to Score for accumulator value.
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
Augsburg have endured a tough start to the 2025/26 Bundesliga campaign, sitting 13th with just two wins from seven, while RB Leipzig are up in second, boasting a 71% win rate and three clean sheets already. Here’s how both teams stand so far this season:
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 16 |
| Augsburg | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 |
2025/26 season to date
Potential Match-Winners
Neither Augsburg nor RB Leipzig have a player in the Bundesliga’s top-three goal scorers, but there are still names to watch. For the hosts, Phillip Tietz and Samuel Essende have both shown a knack for finding the net, with Augsburg’s tally of 12 goals from just 5.24 expected goals highlighting some clinical finishing. On Leipzig’s side, Timo Werner remains a threat, while David Raum is key for creativity from deep, and Amadou Haidara provides midfield dynamism. Leipzig have created 13 big chances in just seven matches—nearly double Augsburg’s output—though conversion has been an issue, with 15 big chances missed.
Head-to-Head
Leipzig have dominated this fixture historically, winning nine of the last 17 meetings. Augsburg have managed just one win, and there have been seven draws. Here are the most recent results:
Last 5 Meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 28/09/24 | RB Leipzig 4-0 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 14/02/25 | Augsburg 0-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 10/02/24 | Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 16/09/23 | RB Leipzig 3-0 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 15/04/23 | RB Leipzig 3-2 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Conclusion
Will RB Leipzig’s profligacy in front of goal cost them again, or will their defensive strength and historical dominance see them through? Augsburg have shown they can punch above their weight, but Leipzig’s higher xG, cleaner defence, and track record in this fixture make them hard to oppose. For punters, RB Leipzig to Win at 21/20 @ Bet365 (48.8%) stands out as the best value selection.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
