Osasuna host Celta de Vigo at El Sadar on Sunday in a clash shaped by contrasting fortunes and a fascinating recent rivalry.
The 17:30 kick-off brings together a home side looking to reassert some consistency against a Celta team still searching for their first league win of the season. With both teams level for goals in their last 12 meetings and plenty of attacking threat on display, this fixture has the potential to go either way—and could be pivotal for both clubs as the season takes shape.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the current season’s stats and recent head-to-heads, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Osasuna’s home advantage, but the data also points to value in the goals markets.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna to Win | 7/5 @ Betfair (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Celta winless in 9, Osasuna strong at home in H2H (5 wins in last 12) |
| Both Teams to Score – No | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | 4 of last 7 H2Hs saw at least one blank; Osasuna underperforming xG |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Osasuna sit 13th with 10 points from 9 games (W3 D1 L5), while Celta de Vigo are 17th and still without a win, drawing 7 and losing 2 (7 points). Osasuna have struggled to find the net—scoring just 7 goals—but Celta’s defence has been more porous, conceding 11. Both sides are negative on goal difference and in need of momentum.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| Celta de Vigo | 17 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Borja Iglesias (Celta): 4 goals in 9 games, over-performing xG. Also boasts 6 big chance assists—expect him to be involved if Celta score.
- Ante Budimir (Osasuna): Most shots and highest xG for Osasuna, but only 2 goals from 3.42 xG. Still, he’s the main focal point for the hosts.
- Iago Aspas (Celta): Only 1 goal, but 12 big chance assists and a key creative spark. If Celta break through, it often goes through Aspas.
- Alejandro Catena (Osasuna): 68 clearances, 36 headed—strong at the back and a threat from set pieces (1 goal).
Head-to-Head: Last 12 Meetings
This fixture has been remarkably level in recent years, with Osasuna winning 5, Celta 4, and 3 draws. Both teams have scored 13 goals in these 12 matches, underlining just how tight this rivalry has become.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 21/02/25 | Celta de Vigo 1-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 01/09/24 | Osasuna 3-2 Celta de Vigo | La Liga |
| 04/02/24 | Osasuna 0-3 Celta de Vigo | La Liga |
| 13/08/23 | Celta de Vigo 0-2 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 06/03/23 | Osasuna 0-0 Celta de Vigo | La Liga |
| 05/11/22 | Celta de Vigo 1-2 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 19/01/22 | Celta de Vigo 2-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 23/08/21 | Osasuna 0-0 Celta de Vigo | La Liga |
| 25/04/21 | Celta de Vigo 2-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 04/10/20 | Osasuna 2-0 Celta de Vigo | La Liga |
| 11/07/20 | Osasuna 2-1 Celta de Vigo | La Liga |
| 05/01/20 | Celta de Vigo 1-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
Conclusion
With Celta de Vigo yet to win this season and Osasuna only marginally more convincing, this match feels like a crossroads for both. Osasuna’s aerial power and home resilience could prove decisive against a Celta side that creates chances but struggles to convert them into wins. Will Osasuna capitalise, or can Celta finally break their duck? For those looking for a bet, Osasuna to win at 7/5 with Betfair (41.7%) stands out as the value pick.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.