Millwall welcome Leicester City to The Den, with the hosts aiming to maintain their position in the Championship’s upper reaches.
This Saturday’s clash (15:00) pits third-placed Millwall against a Leicester side whose slick passing and attacking intent haven’t quite translated into wins. With Leicester unbeaten in three of their last four head-to-heads, and Millwall eager to prove their promotion credentials, expect a fiercely contested encounter that could have a significant impact on both clubs’ ambitions.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent statistics and tactical trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in Both Teams to Score, given both sides’ attacking profiles and the historic tendency for goals in this fixture.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score | 5/6 @ Bet365 (54.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Backing because both sides average over a goal per game and often concede; 3 of last 4 H2Hs saw both score. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 6/5 @ Bet365 (45.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Strong trend shows 3 of last 4 H2Hs hit 3+ goals. Both sides generate plenty of chances (xG: Millwall 15.3, Leicester 13.7). |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Both teams have played 11 matches. Millwall are sitting third, their strong start underpinned by defensive resilience (4 clean sheets) and a robust home record. Leicester City, despite ranking ninth, possess a superior goal difference (+4 vs Millwall’s 0) and the league’s slickest passing unit (86.5% accuracy, 57.4% possession on average), but haven’t always turned dominance into points. Here’s how they stack up:
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| Leicester City | 9 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 17 |
Potential Match-Winners
Keep an eye on Millwall’s Mihailo Ivanović, who is emerging as a consistent threat up front, while Leicester may look to Patson Daka for a spark, given his pace and movement. Both sides have spread their goals around, but Millwall’s underperformance on xG (15.3 xG, 13 scored) suggests Ivanović and fellow attackers are due an upturn. Leicester’s ball retention (57.4% possession) could see their creative midfielders dictate play, teeing up forwards like Daka and Jordan Ayew to test Millwall’s back line.
Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings
Leicester City have had the edge in recent encounters, winning three of the last four meetings and outscoring Millwall 8-5 in that run. The fixture has rarely seen stalemates, with goals at both ends a recurring theme.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 09/04/24 | Millwall 1-0 Leicester City | Championship |
| 06/01/24 | Millwall 2-3 Leicester City | FA Cup |
| 13/12/23 | Leicester City 3-2 Millwall | Championship |
| 22/09/21 | Millwall 0-2 Leicester City | League Cup |
Conclusion
Will Leicester City’s technical edge and recent head-to-head record be enough to overcome Millwall’s home toughness and improved defence? With both sides boasting attacking quality and a history of entertaining meetings, we’re backing Both Teams to Score at 5/6 with Bet365 (54.5%) as our standout selection for this Championship showdown.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.