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Squawka / News / Brentford vs Liverpool: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Brentford vs Liverpool: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Brentford welcome Liverpool to the Gtech Community Stadium in a clash that pits two sides with contrasting Premier League ambitions.

The hosts, aiming to climb away from mid-table, face a Liverpool side eager to keep pace with the top. Saturday’s kick-off promises a tactical battle: Brentford’s efficiency and aerial power against Liverpool’s relentless creation and possession game. With Liverpool winning six of their last eight meetings, Brentford will be desperate to break the trend and make home advantage count.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Liverpool’s attacking volume and Brentford’s ability to convert limited chances, here are our top betting recommendations for this match.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Liverpool to win and Igor Thiago to score anytime11/2 @ BetMGM
(15.4%)
⭐⭐Liverpool haven’t been in the greatest of form recently but this is a fixture that the Reds have performed well in, winning their last five matches against Brentford. We’re backing them to get back to winning ways this weekend against a Brentford side that have only beaten Liverpool once in the modern era. Despite backing Liverpool to win this match, it’s a Brentford player that we think could get his name on the scoresheet. Igor Thiago missed much of last season through injury but a combination of his recovery, and the sale of both Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa, had thrust him into the spotlight in West London. He’s thrived under that spotlight though, scoring five Premier League goals already this season and we’re backing him to find the net again, against a Liverpool side that have conceded eight goals in their last five games.
Over 2.5 Goals and Over 9.5 corners6/5 @ BetMGM
(45.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Five of the last seven games featuring Brentford have ended with over 2.5 goals and that figure increases to six of the last seven matches featuring Liverpool. In the league alone, Brentford matches have averaged 2.9 goals per game, whilst Liverpool matches have averaged 3.1 goals per game. It’s a similar story when it comes to corners, with Brentford matches seeing an average of 9.75 corners and Liverpool matches seeing 10.63 corners on average.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Brentford vs Liverpool match odds

How both teams head into Brentford vs Liverpool

Inconsistency has plagued Brentford’s season to this point, with the Bees exchanging wins and losses over the past few weeks. They’ve failed to follow up on wins over Man Utd and West Ham, with losses against Fulham and Man City stunting their progress. This has left Keith Andrew’s side in 13th place in the Premier League, which is probably about par for the Bees. Goals have been in good order for the side, with Brentford scoring 11 times in eight Premier League matches this season, although they have conceded 12 times.

It’s been an awful few weeks for Liverpool, with the run of straight losses now extending to four matches. Crystal Palace were the first side to beat them this season, before Galatasaray, Chelsea and Man Utd all extended the agony for Arne Slot’s side. It shouldn’t be forgotten, however, that Liverpool are the reigning Premier League champions and won the first seven games of the season in all competitions. It’s not going to take much for them to get over their blip in form and Brentford will be hoping that this weekend won’t be the time for Liverpool to re-find their form.

Brentford team news

Antoni Milambo will miss the entirety of the Premier League season after suffering an ACL injury, whilst Paris Maghoma is still a couple of weeks away from returning to full fitness. There is better news concerning Aaron Hickey though, with the defender likely to available for selection again.

Liverpool team news

Giovanni Leoni is a long term absentee for Liverpool after tearing his ACL in his debut game for the Reds. Alisson is another player who will miss out this weekend through injury, with Giorgi Mamardashvili continuing to deputise. There are some concerns over Ryan Gravenberch, who was taken off against Man Utd with an ankle problem, and he may fail to prove his fitness in time for the trip to Brentford.

Season Form & Standings

Liverpool’s fast start sees them in the top four, while Brentford are just below mid-table. Both sides have scored freely, but defensive lapses have cost points.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Liverpool485031411315
Brentford1383141112-110

Head-to-Head: Last 8 Meetings

Liverpool have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning six of the last eight encounters, with only one defeat to Brentford.

DateScoreCompetition
18/01/25Brentford 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League
25/08/24Liverpool 2-0 BrentfordPremier League
17/02/24Brentford 1-4 LiverpoolPremier League
12/11/23Liverpool 3-0 BrentfordPremier League
06/05/23Liverpool 1-0 BrentfordPremier League
02/01/23Brentford 3-1 LiverpoolPremier League
16/01/22Liverpool 3-0 BrentfordPremier League
25/09/21Brentford 3-3 LiverpoolPremier League

Conclusion

Can Brentford’s set-piece threat and Igor Thiago’s poaching upset the Liverpool juggernaut, or will the Reds’ creative power and dominant recent record prevail? The numbers point firmly towards Liverpool, but Brentford’s efficiency can’t be ignored. For those looking for a bet, Liverpool to win and Igor Thiago to score anytime at 11/2 with BetMGM stands out as the best value.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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