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Squawka / News / Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Tottenham Hotspur host Aston Villa at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday, 19 October, in a Premier League clash that pitches a high-flying Spurs side against a Villa team searching for consistency.

Kick-off brings together two teams whose recent fortunes could hardly be more contrasting: Tottenham sit third and boast double the goals of their visitors, while Villa arrive looking to reverse a patchy start and a mixed head-to-head record in North London.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Tottenham’s superior goal output, Villa’s xG underperformance, and the recent head-to-head record, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in Spurs to win, given their attacking efficiency and home advantage.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Tottenham Hotspur to Win11/10 @ SBK
(47.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Tottenham, under new boss Thomas Frank, have started the season well and currently sit in third position after picking 14 points from a possible 21. It’s seven games without a loss in all competitions for Spurs, who have scored 13 goals in seven Premier League games. In contrast, Aston Villa saw their season start with a struggle, although they do seem to have turned things around now with two wins in a row. They’ve really found life on the road hard, though, and have yet to pick up a win away from Villa Park.
Both Teams to Score – Yes7/10 @ SBK
(58.8%)
⭐⭐⭐There is plenty of attacking intent behind both sides coming into this one. Tottenham are averaging almost two goals a game over the course of the Premier League season but this figure hits 2 goals a game exactly when just looking at their last four fixtures. Aston Villa struggled for goals in the early games of the season but have found the scoring touch in recent weeks, finding the net six times in their last three Premier League games.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Tottenham vs Aston Villa match odds

How both teams head into Tottenham vs Aston Villa

Tottenham head into this match in great shape, having gone seven games without a loss in all competitions. This run includes Premier League wins over West Ham and Leeds, as well as victory in the EFL Cup and an impressive win over Villarreal in the Champions League. In fact, Spurs have only lost once all season (a 1-0 home loss to Bournemouth) and come into this game full of confidence. They have been scoring well, with 13 goals in seven games but their main strength has come at the other end of the pitch, where they’ve conceded just five goals in the league this season.

Aston Villa found the start of the Premier League season really tricky, going through their first six games of the season without picking up a win and only scoring one goal. They look to have turned things around in recent weeks though, picking up four wins in a row in all competitions, two Premier League victories (over Fulham and Burnley) and two Europa League wins (against Bologna and Feyenoord). The upturn in form has lifted Villa up to 13th in the league and with a decent head to head record against Tottenham, they’ll be hopeful of taking something from this game.

Season Form & Standings

Tottenham Hotspur have started brightly, sitting third with 14 points from 7 games (W4 D2 L1), a robust +8 goal difference, and an attack firing at nearly two goals per match. Aston Villa, meanwhile, are 13th and struggling to convert possession into points, with just 6 goals scored and a -1 goal difference. Both teams have demonstrated solid ball retention (Spurs 55.7% average possession, Villa 57.2%) and passing accuracy, but Spurs’ efficiency in both boxes shows up in their standings position.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Tottenham Hotspur37421135+814
Aston Villa13723267-19

Tottenham team news

James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski and Dominic Solanke all remain sidelined with long term injuries whilst there is no return date set for Ben Davies or Yves Bissouma. There is better news surrounding Radu Dragusin and Randal Kolo Muani though, who could both play some part this weekend.

Aston Villa team news

Aston Villa could come into this game with a fully fit squad, with Tyrone Mings, Emi Buendia, Andres Garcia, Ollie Watkins and Youri Tielemans all looking set to shake off injuries and being available for selection.

Head-to-Head

Tottenham and Aston Villa have met 14 times in recent years, with Spurs holding the edge (8 wins to 6) but Villa enjoying their share of big away victories, including three wins at this ground.

Last 6 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
16/05/25Aston Villa 2-0 Tottenham HotspurPremier League
09/02/25Aston Villa 2-1 Tottenham HotspurFA Cup
03/11/24Tottenham Hotspur 4-1 Aston VillaPremier League
10/03/24Aston Villa 0-4 Tottenham HotspurPremier League
26/11/23Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Aston VillaPremier League
13/05/23Aston Villa 2-1 Tottenham HotspurPremier League

Conclusion

Will Tottenham’s attacking momentum overcome Villa’s resilience and recent away successes in this fixture? Spurs have the edge in form, firepower, and discipline, but Villa’s history of upsets in North London keeps this match on a knife edge. For punters, Tottenham Hotspur to win at 11/10 (47.6%) with SBK stands out as the top value selection for this Premier League clash.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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