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Squawka / News / Northern Ireland vs Slovakia: prediction, stats, tips and odds

Northern Ireland vs Slovakia: prediction, stats, tips and odds

Northern Ireland host Slovakia at Windsor Park on Friday, 10th October, in a key World Cup qualifier that could shape the Group A standings. You can find our full match preview, betting insights, and best bets, which include a 10/1 poke for the game below.

Our Northern Ireland vs Slovakia prediction

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Slovakia to win & over 3.5 Slovakia Corners9/2 @ bet365
(40.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐ Slovakia cleared the 3.5 corner line in both of their matches in September’s international break. Those came against Luxembourg and Germany, who they efficiently collected three points. Slovakia could be seriously underrated by the market and it would be no surprise to see them put in a dominant display in this clash.
Donyell Correct Score: Northern Ireland 1-2 Slovakia10/1 @ Paddy Power
(14.3%)
⭐⭐Both teams have scored in five of Northern Ireland’s last six matches across all formats. Slovakia enjoyed wins over Luxembourg and more impressively, Germany during the international break in September and can carry on their strong form here. The visitors represent a significant step up in class and look good value to make it three from three.

How both teams go into Northern Ireland vs Slovakia

Northern Ireland began their World Cup qualifying journey in promising fashion with a 3-1 victory over Luxembourg, but reality hit soon after as they fell to the same scoreline away to Germany. Despite that setback, Michael O’Neill’s young side have shown steady progress, particularly at Windsor Park, where they’ve now won four consecutive competitive fixtures without conceding, though tougher tests lie ahead. Their supporters will still remember Slovakia’s last visit to Belfast five years ago, when a narrow defeat denied Northern Ireland a place at Euro 2020. This time, revenge will be on their minds.

Meanwhile, Slovakia have made a perfect start in Group A, stunning Germany 2-0 in Bratislava to claim one of the standout results of the campaign so far. However, they were less convincing last time out against Luxembourg, needing a stoppage-time goal from Tomas Rigo to seal the points. Francesco Calzona’s team may sit top with six points from two games, but they’ll know a sharper performance is required to maintain their momentum in Belfast.

Northern Ireland team news

Michael O’Neill has been boosted by the return of several key players ahead of Friday’s clash, with Daniel Ballard, Conor Hazard, Brodie Spencer, Ciaron Brown and Paul Smyth all back in contention after missing last month’s fixtures.

Veteran forward Josh Magennis also earns a recall to the squad nearly a year after his last appearance, while Rangers winger Ross McCausland returns to the fold following an impressive run of form at club level. The one notable absentee remains first-choice goalkeeper Pierce Charles, who continues to recover from a shoulder injury.

Slovakia team news

Slovakia’s main attacking threat comes from David Strelec, who has found the net five times in his last 11 international outings. The Middlesbrough forward is expected to lead the line once again, supported by Feyenoord’s Leo Sauer, while Lukas Haraslin — now recovered from the injury that kept him out in September — is likely to rejoin the attack to form a dangerous front three.

World Cup Qualifying Group A Standings

Team (Group A)PosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Northern Ireland221014403
Team (Group A)PosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Slovakia1220030-+36

Head to head: Last 5 meetings

DateScoreCompetition
12/11/2020Northern Ireland 1-2 SlovakiaEuropean Championship Qualifying/td>
04/06/2016Slovakia 0-0 Northern IrelandFriendly
09/09/2009Northern Ireland 0-2 SlovakiaWorld Cup qualification
06/09/2008Slovakia 2-1 Northern IrelandWorld Cup qualification
25/03/1998Northern Ireland 1-0 SlovakiaFriendly

Conclusion

While the Green and White Army will battle hard at Windsor Park, Slovakia’s greater composure and attacking depth might see them edge another vital step toward World Cup qualification. Siding with the visitors looks the value play here, and our recommended Bet Builder at 9/2 is sure to prove popular.