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Squawka / News / Deportivo Alavés vs Elche: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Deportivo Alavés vs Elche: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Deportivo Alavés welcome Elche to Mendizorrotza this weekend, with both sides hoping to build momentum as the La Liga season picks up pace.

Elche arrive unbeaten after seven matches, riding high on possession and creative numbers, while Alavés look to make home advantage count and improve on recent form. Kick-off is set for Sunday at 1:00 PM, and with both teams locked at two wins apiece from their last four meetings, the stakes are clear: this is a chance to lay down a marker for the weeks ahead.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Elche’s superior attacking stats and Alavés’ corner threat, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Elche in the double chance market, given their control in possession and strong start to the season.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Elche or Draw (Double Chance)9/20 @ Bet365
(69.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Elche unbeaten in 7, better xG and possession. Alavés won just 2 of 7.
Under 2.5 Goals1/2 @ Bet365
(66.7%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Both average below 1.5 goals scored/conceded per game; last 4 H2Hs never saw 4+ goals.

Our approach: Start with Elche or Draw for safety, and add Under 2.5 Goals for accumulator value.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date. Elche have started brightly, sitting fourth and unbeaten, while Alavés are mid-table, struggling to turn performances into points.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Elche47340106+413
Deportivo Alaves11722367-18

Potential Match-Winners

  • Carlos Vicente (Alavés): Alavés have lacked a clinical edge, but Vicente’s movement is key to their attack. Alavés average 9.3 shots per game, but need conversion to improve their scoring rate (6 goals in 7).
  • Andre Silva (Elche): Elche’s more fluid build-up (87.5% pass accuracy, 58% possession) puts creative pressure on opponents. Silva can exploit Alavés’ high line—Alavés have been caught offside 16 times, nearly double Elche’s total.
  • Denis Suárez (Alavés): In midfield, Suárez looks to link play and drive Alavés forward—watch for his set-piece delivery, with Alavés forcing 39 corners already (5.6 per match, best in the league so far).
  • Aleix Febas (Elche): Key to Elche’s creative output (5.4 xA), Febas is a strong chance creator from midfield, contributing to their league-high 10 big chances created.

Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings

The last four encounters between these sides have been perfectly balanced, with two wins each and no draws. Recent results suggest little to separate them, but Elche have scored one more goal (5 to 4).

DateScoreCompetition
05/02/22Elche 3-1 Deportivo AlavésPrimera División
26/10/21Deportivo Alavés 1-0 ElchePrimera División
11/05/21Elche 0-2 Deportivo AlavésPrimera División
18/10/20Deportivo Alavés 0-2 ElchePrimera División

Conclusion

Will Elche’s superior control and creativity see them continue their unbeaten run, or can Alavés’ home advantage and set-piece strength tip the balance? With Elche showing greater consistency and a stronger attacking profile, we’re backing them to avoid defeat—making Elche or Draw at 9/20 with Bet365 (implied 69.0%) our top pick for this fixture.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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