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Squawka / News / Millwall vs West Bromwich Albion: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Millwall vs West Bromwich Albion: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Millwall welcome West Bromwich Albion to The Den in a Championship clash where both sides look to ignite their campaigns.

The teams share a history of tight, tactical encounters, but it’s West Brom who arrive in superior form—sitting higher in the table and boasting stronger attacking and defensive numbers. Kick-off is set for 3:00 PM on Saturday, and the outcome could set the tone for each side’s next stretch of fixtures.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on West Brom’s more potent attack, tighter defence, and Millwall’s ongoing struggles in front of goal, here are our top betting recommendations. We’re particularly confident in West Brom avoiding defeat, given their superior metrics across both ends of the pitch.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
West Brom Double Chance7/10 @ Bet365
(58.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐West Brom have lost just twice in eight, superior attack and defence, Millwall struggle to convert chances.
Under 2.5 Goals3/4 @ Betfair
(57.1%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Six of last eight meetings ended 1-1 or 0-0; both teams average under 1.2 goals for per game.

Our approach: Start with West Brom Double Chance, add Under 2.5 Goals for accumulator potential.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

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Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date. West Brom have made the brighter start, sitting fourth thanks to a solid defensive foundation and a more efficient attack, while Millwall’s negative goal difference underlines their ongoing struggles in both boxes.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
West Bromwich Albion4842297+214
Millwall128323612-611

Potential Match-Winners

  • Millwall: Their attack has yet to spark, with no players among the league’s top scorers or assisters. The team averages just 0.75 goals per game despite an xG of 12.13, so any breakthrough may come from improving finishing—look for Mihailo Ivanovic or Thierno Ballo to step up.
  • West Bromwich Albion: No individuals in the league’s top three for goals or assists, but as a unit they’ve been efficient—9 goals from 10.10 xG, 6 assists from 5.43 xA. Aune Heggebo and Mikey Johnston can be key, while Jed Wallace’s creativity (from midfield) is worth watching.

Defensively, West Brom have conceded just 0.88 per game with three clean sheets, led by Joshua Griffiths in goal and a disciplined back four. Millwall offer threat on set pieces but have shipped 1.5 goals per game.

Head-to-Head

Draws have dominated this fixture, with seven of the last 13 meetings ending level. The last five have produced just one win for either side, underlining how closely matched they tend to be.

Last 7 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
15/02/25Millwall 1-1 West Bromwich AlbionChampionship
05/10/24West Bromwich Albion 0-0 MillwallChampionship
29/03/24Millwall 1-1 West Bromwich AlbionChampionship
23/09/23West Bromwich Albion 0-0 MillwallChampionship
01/04/23West Bromwich Albion 0-0 MillwallChampionship
22/10/22Millwall 2-1 West Bromwich AlbionChampionship
29/01/22Millwall 2-0 West Bromwich AlbionChampionship

Conclusion

With neither side housing a standout scorer and recent meetings consistently tight, the edge tilts to West Brom on the strength of their defensive record and superior ball retention. Will Millwall finally make their xG count, or will West Brom’s solidity and efficiency see them claim another positive result? Our money is on West Brom avoiding defeat, with the 7/10 @ Bet365 (58.8%) Double Chance the standout pick for this contest.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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